Recent atmospheric patterns, including a weakening front and variable northerly flow over New Zealand, are driving trader consensus toward a 14–15°C maximum in Wellington on September 18. Official guidance from agencies like MetService highlights partly cloudy conditions with light winds shifting southerly later, limiting daytime heating while marine moderation caps peaks near seasonal averages of 13–14°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact highs, with stronger northerlies potentially pushing readings to 16°C and increased cloud or showers favoring 13°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering between 14°C and 16°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or timing of any precipitation could determine resolution. Updated forecasts through the weekend will refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on September 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 18?
14°C 38%
15°C 23%
16°C 23%
13°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
11%
14°C
38%
15°C
34%
16°C
23%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 38%
15°C 23%
16°C 23%
13°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
$183 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$29 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C
$57 Vol.
11%
14°C
$15 Vol.
38%
15°C
$10 Vol.
34%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$31 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$111 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric patterns, including a weakening front and variable northerly flow over New Zealand, are driving trader consensus toward a 14–15°C maximum in Wellington on September 18. Official guidance from agencies like MetService highlights partly cloudy conditions with light winds shifting southerly later, limiting daytime heating while marine moderation caps peaks near seasonal averages of 13–14°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact highs, with stronger northerlies potentially pushing readings to 16°C and increased cloud or showers favoring 13°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering between 14°C and 16°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or timing of any precipitation could determine resolution. Updated forecasts through the weekend will refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$435Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric patterns, including a weakening front and variable northerly flow over New Zealand, are driving trader consensus toward a 14–15°C maximum in Wellington on September 18. Official guidance from agencies like MetService highlights partly cloudy conditions with light winds shifting southerly later, limiting daytime heating while marine moderation caps peaks near seasonal averages of 13–14°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact highs, with stronger northerlies potentially pushing readings to 16°C and increased cloud or showers favoring 13°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering between 14°C and 16°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or timing of any precipitation could determine resolution. Updated forecasts through the weekend will refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$435Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric patterns, including a weakening front and variable northerly flow over New Zealand, are driving trader consensus toward a 14–15°C maximum in Wellington on September 18. Official guidance from agencies like MetService highlights partly cloudy conditions with light winds shifting southerly later, limiting daytime heating while marine moderation caps peaks near seasonal averages of 13–14°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty around exact highs, with stronger northerlies potentially pushing readings to 16°C and increased cloud or showers favoring 13°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering between 14°C and 16°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or timing of any precipitation could determine resolution. Updated forecasts through the weekend will refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan