Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts position the daily maximum near 31°C for September 16 under strengthening northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure influence, favoring mostly fine conditions with easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. This setup typically supports daytime heating to the upper end of the 27–31°C range while moderate humidity (60–85%) and scattered cloud limit further warming, aligning with September climatological averages of 30–31°C. Recent model runs show low precipitation probability and no significant cold-air intrusion, keeping 30–32°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with traders weighting the official forecast thresholds heavily ahead of final Observatory verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
31°C 43%
30°C 26%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
26%
31°C
43%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 26%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$234 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$300 Vol.
1%
28°C
$247 Vol.
4%
29°C
$312 Vol.
9%
30°C
$470 Vol.
26%
31°C
$1,631 Vol.
43%
32°C
$503 Vol.
19%
33°C
$239 Vol.
3%
34°C
$112 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$128 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts position the daily maximum near 31°C for September 16 under strengthening northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure influence, favoring mostly fine conditions with easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. This setup typically supports daytime heating to the upper end of the 27–31°C range while moderate humidity (60–85%) and scattered cloud limit further warming, aligning with September climatological averages of 30–31°C. Recent model runs show low precipitation probability and no significant cold-air intrusion, keeping 30–32°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with traders weighting the official forecast thresholds heavily ahead of final Observatory verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,339Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts position the daily maximum near 31°C for September 16 under strengthening northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure influence, favoring mostly fine conditions with easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. This setup typically supports daytime heating to the upper end of the 27–31°C range while moderate humidity (60–85%) and scattered cloud limit further warming, aligning with September climatological averages of 30–31°C. Recent model runs show low precipitation probability and no significant cold-air intrusion, keeping 30–32°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with traders weighting the official forecast thresholds heavily ahead of final Observatory verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,339Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble forecasts position the daily maximum near 31°C for September 16 under strengthening northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure influence, favoring mostly fine conditions with easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. This setup typically supports daytime heating to the upper end of the 27–31°C range while moderate humidity (60–85%) and scattered cloud limit further warming, aligning with September climatological averages of 30–31°C. Recent model runs show low precipitation probability and no significant cold-air intrusion, keeping 30–32°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with traders weighting the official forecast thresholds heavily ahead of final Observatory verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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