Recent official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate clear, sunny conditions over Seattle on September 16 under high pressure with light northerly flow, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s after cooler readings the prior day. This setup aligns with typical early-fall marine air moderation yet allows sufficient solar heating for temperatures to reach the 72–75°F range, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 74–75°F at 50.5% implied probability. Historical averages near 70.6°F provide context, while the absence of clouds or onshore surges reduces downside risk and caps upside potential below 78°F. Updated model runs through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on September 16?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 16?
74-75°F 50%
72-73°F 30%
76-77°F 15%
70-71°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 50%
72-73°F 30%
76-77°F 15%
70-71°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
63°F or below
$413 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$489 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$546 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$618 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$1,064 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$1,830 Vol.
30%
74-75°F
$1,158 Vol.
50%
76-77°F
$1,383 Vol.
15%
78-79°F
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$350 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$277 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate clear, sunny conditions over Seattle on September 16 under high pressure with light northerly flow, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s after cooler readings the prior day. This setup aligns with typical early-fall marine air moderation yet allows sufficient solar heating for temperatures to reach the 72–75°F range, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 74–75°F at 50.5% implied probability. Historical averages near 70.6°F provide context, while the absence of clouds or onshore surges reduces downside risk and caps upside potential below 78°F. Updated model runs through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volume
$9,211Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 7:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate clear, sunny conditions over Seattle on September 16 under high pressure with light northerly flow, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s after cooler readings the prior day. This setup aligns with typical early-fall marine air moderation yet allows sufficient solar heating for temperatures to reach the 72–75°F range, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 74–75°F at 50.5% implied probability. Historical averages near 70.6°F provide context, while the absence of clouds or onshore surges reduces downside risk and caps upside potential below 78°F. Updated model runs through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,211Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 7:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate clear, sunny conditions over Seattle on September 16 under high pressure with light northerly flow, supporting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s after cooler readings the prior day. This setup aligns with typical early-fall marine air moderation yet allows sufficient solar heating for temperatures to reach the 72–75°F range, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 74–75°F at 50.5% implied probability. Historical averages near 70.6°F provide context, while the absence of clouds or onshore surges reduces downside risk and caps upside potential below 78°F. Updated model runs through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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