Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ICON and regional analyses, point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in São Paulo on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southeasterly winds, and residual cool polar air that has kept overnight lows below seasonal norms. This setup limits radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90–95%, reducing the chance of sharp drops. The closely matched market odds reflect genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-model adjustments, with historical September lows averaging 14–16°C but recent cold advection creating downside risk below 10°C if skies clear more than expected. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite observations of frontal positioning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 17?
8°C or below 57%
18°C or higher 55%
13°C 34%
12°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
57%
9°C
14%
10°C
17%
11°C
14%
12°C
25%
13°C
34%
14°C
25%
15°C
20%
16°C
21%
17°C
14%
18°C or higher
55%
8°C or below 57%
18°C or higher 55%
13°C 34%
12°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
57%
9°C
$0 Vol.
14%
10°C
$0 Vol.
17%
11°C
$1 Vol.
14%
12°C
$1 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ICON and regional analyses, point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in São Paulo on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southeasterly winds, and residual cool polar air that has kept overnight lows below seasonal norms. This setup limits radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90–95%, reducing the chance of sharp drops. The closely matched market odds reflect genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-model adjustments, with historical September lows averaging 14–16°C but recent cold advection creating downside risk below 10°C if skies clear more than expected. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite observations of frontal positioning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$2Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ICON and regional analyses, point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in São Paulo on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southeasterly winds, and residual cool polar air that has kept overnight lows below seasonal norms. This setup limits radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90–95%, reducing the chance of sharp drops. The closely matched market odds reflect genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-model adjustments, with historical September lows averaging 14–16°C but recent cold advection creating downside risk below 10°C if skies clear more than expected. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite observations of frontal positioning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ICON and regional analyses, point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in São Paulo on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southeasterly winds, and residual cool polar air that has kept overnight lows below seasonal norms. This setup limits radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity near 90–95%, reducing the chance of sharp drops. The closely matched market odds reflect genuine uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-model adjustments, with historical September lows averaging 14–16°C but recent cold advection creating downside risk below 10°C if skies clear more than expected. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite observations of frontal positioning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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