**Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a maximum of 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 18 under mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds.** This consensus on peak heating, combined with typical Red Sea coastal moderation from sea breezes and humidity around 55–60%, underpins the near-even market-implied odds for 37°C (36%) versus 38°C (35.5%). Minor differences hinge on exact cloud timing, wind strength, and diurnal temperature rise rates, while the 16% probability for 39°C or higher reflects potential for reduced marine influence or clearer conditions. Recent observations show September maxima often near 37–38°C, with stable high-pressure patterns supporting limited day-to-day variability ahead of the daily high-temperature resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 18?
37°C 37%
38°C 36%
39°C or higher 14%
36°C 13%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
13%
37°C
37%
38°C
36%
39°C or higher
14%
37°C 37%
38°C 36%
39°C or higher 14%
36°C 13%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
13%
37°C
37%
38°C
36%
39°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a maximum of 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 18 under mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds.** This consensus on peak heating, combined with typical Red Sea coastal moderation from sea breezes and humidity around 55–60%, underpins the near-even market-implied odds for 37°C (36%) versus 38°C (35.5%). Minor differences hinge on exact cloud timing, wind strength, and diurnal temperature rise rates, while the 16% probability for 39°C or higher reflects potential for reduced marine influence or clearer conditions. Recent observations show September maxima often near 37–38°C, with stable high-pressure patterns supporting limited day-to-day variability ahead of the daily high-temperature resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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