Current ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Tokyo on September 17, driven by persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and northerly winds associated with a southward-moving front that limits daytime heating. These conditions suppress solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling compared with the seasonal normal of about 27°C, keeping maxima several degrees lower. Trader consensus around the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement on these factors, with small differences hinging on exact timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts in final runs. Updated JMA guidance and higher-resolution model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 17?
24°C 30%
23°C 28%
25°C 17%
21°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
15%
23°C
28%
24°C
30%
25°C
17%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 30%
23°C 28%
25°C 17%
21°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$32 Vol.
15%
23°C
$3 Vol.
28%
24°C
$140 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C or higher
$161 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Tokyo on September 17, driven by persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and northerly winds associated with a southward-moving front that limits daytime heating. These conditions suppress solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling compared with the seasonal normal of about 27°C, keeping maxima several degrees lower. Trader consensus around the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement on these factors, with small differences hinging on exact timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts in final runs. Updated JMA guidance and higher-resolution model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$335Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Tokyo on September 17, driven by persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and northerly winds associated with a southward-moving front that limits daytime heating. These conditions suppress solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling compared with the seasonal normal of about 27°C, keeping maxima several degrees lower. Trader consensus around the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement on these factors, with small differences hinging on exact timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts in final runs. Updated JMA guidance and higher-resolution model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$335Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Tokyo on September 17, driven by persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and northerly winds associated with a southward-moving front that limits daytime heating. These conditions suppress solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling compared with the seasonal normal of about 27°C, keeping maxima several degrees lower. Trader consensus around the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement on these factors, with small differences hinging on exact timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts in final runs. Updated JMA guidance and higher-resolution model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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