Recent northeasterly monsoon winds have increased moisture and cloud cover over northern Taiwan, moderating daytime heating in Taipei ahead of September 15. Official forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature most likely between 28–31°C, with scattered showers expected to limit solar insolation and prevent stronger warming. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering around 29–31°C, where small differences in precipitation timing, wind speed, or cloud persistence can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than peak summer conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on September 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 15?
29°C 31%
30°C 21%
31°C 17%
32°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
24°C or below
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
8%
28°C
9%
29°C
21%
30°C
21%
31°C
17%
32°C
10%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
4%
29°C 31%
30°C 21%
31°C 17%
32°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
24°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
25°C
$10 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
6%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$6 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
21%
31°C
$6 Vol.
17%
32°C
$0 Vol.
10%
33°C
$10 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$10 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northeasterly monsoon winds have increased moisture and cloud cover over northern Taiwan, moderating daytime heating in Taipei ahead of September 15. Official forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature most likely between 28–31°C, with scattered showers expected to limit solar insolation and prevent stronger warming. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering around 29–31°C, where small differences in precipitation timing, wind speed, or cloud persistence can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than peak summer conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$52Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northeasterly monsoon winds have increased moisture and cloud cover over northern Taiwan, moderating daytime heating in Taipei ahead of September 15. Official forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature most likely between 28–31°C, with scattered showers expected to limit solar insolation and prevent stronger warming. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering around 29–31°C, where small differences in precipitation timing, wind speed, or cloud persistence can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than peak summer conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northeasterly monsoon winds have increased moisture and cloud cover over northern Taiwan, moderating daytime heating in Taipei ahead of September 15. Official forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature most likely between 28–31°C, with scattered showers expected to limit solar insolation and prevent stronger warming. This aligns with market-implied odds clustering around 29–31°C, where small differences in precipitation timing, wind speed, or cloud persistence can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors slightly cooler outcomes than peak summer conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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