Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Paris on September 15 centered around 15–17 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds shifting northwest, and a surface high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. These conditions produce radiative cooling rates typical for early autumn under moderate humidity and dew points near 14–15 °C, consistent with recent observational trends showing overnight lows 3–5 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.6 °C. Trader consensus reflects tight clustering around these values because short-range model agreement remains high, though minor shifts could arise from the next ECMWF or Météo-France update before the 24-hour verification window closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 15?
11°C or below 87%
16°C 35%
17°C 28%
15°C 22%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
87%
12°C
20%
13°C
8%
14°C
17%
15°C
22%
16°C
35%
17°C
28%
18°C
13%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
11°C or below 87%
16°C 35%
17°C 28%
15°C 22%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$10 Vol.
87%
12°C
$10 Vol.
20%
13°C
$5 Vol.
8%
14°C
$0 Vol.
17%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
35%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
13%
19°C
$10 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Paris on September 15 centered around 15–17 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds shifting northwest, and a surface high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. These conditions produce radiative cooling rates typical for early autumn under moderate humidity and dew points near 14–15 °C, consistent with recent observational trends showing overnight lows 3–5 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.6 °C. Trader consensus reflects tight clustering around these values because short-range model agreement remains high, though minor shifts could arise from the next ECMWF or Météo-France update before the 24-hour verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$46Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Paris on September 15 centered around 15–17 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds shifting northwest, and a surface high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. These conditions produce radiative cooling rates typical for early autumn under moderate humidity and dew points near 14–15 °C, consistent with recent observational trends showing overnight lows 3–5 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.6 °C. Trader consensus reflects tight clustering around these values because short-range model agreement remains high, though minor shifts could arise from the next ECMWF or Météo-France update before the 24-hour verification window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Paris on September 15 centered around 15–17 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds shifting northwest, and a surface high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. These conditions produce radiative cooling rates typical for early autumn under moderate humidity and dew points near 14–15 °C, consistent with recent observational trends showing overnight lows 3–5 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.6 °C. Trader consensus reflects tight clustering around these values because short-range model agreement remains high, though minor shifts could arise from the next ECMWF or Météo-France update before the 24-hour verification window closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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