Current forecast models, including GFS runs, point to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Incheon under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies, with northwest winds of 10–12 km/h and negligible precipitation risk. This places the implied probability firmly on 26°C as the leading outcome, consistent with historical mid-September baselines for the Seoul metropolitan area and the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model consensus, which shows limited spread across ensembles and no major revisions in the past 24 hours. The market will resolve on official Incheon station observations once the calendar day ends in Korea Standard Time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
26°C 47%
25°C 29%
27°C 15%
24°C 11%
BARU
$17,325 Vol.
BARU
$17,325 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
29%
26°C
47%
27°C
15%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 29%
27°C 15%
24°C 11%
BARU
$17,325 Vol.
BARU
$17,325 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$538 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,979 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$891 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,258 Vol.
3%
24°C
$2,762 Vol.
11%
25°C
$3,292 Vol.
29%
26°C
$2,956 Vol.
47%
27°C
$2,374 Vol.
15%
28°C
$966 Vol.
2%
29°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$77 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, point to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Incheon under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies, with northwest winds of 10–12 km/h and negligible precipitation risk. This places the implied probability firmly on 26°C as the leading outcome, consistent with historical mid-September baselines for the Seoul metropolitan area and the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model consensus, which shows limited spread across ensembles and no major revisions in the past 24 hours. The market will resolve on official Incheon station observations once the calendar day ends in Korea Standard Time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,325Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, point to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Incheon under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies, with northwest winds of 10–12 km/h and negligible precipitation risk. This places the implied probability firmly on 26°C as the leading outcome, consistent with historical mid-September baselines for the Seoul metropolitan area and the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model consensus, which shows limited spread across ensembles and no major revisions in the past 24 hours. The market will resolve on official Incheon station observations once the calendar day ends in Korea Standard Time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,325Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs, point to a daytime maximum of 26–27°C in Incheon under mostly cloudy morning conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies, with northwest winds of 10–12 km/h and negligible precipitation risk. This places the implied probability firmly on 26°C as the leading outcome, consistent with historical mid-September baselines for the Seoul metropolitan area and the absence of any warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest model consensus, which shows limited spread across ensembles and no major revisions in the past 24 hours. The market will resolve on official Incheon station observations once the calendar day ends in Korea Standard Time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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