Traders see 19–20°C as the most likely minimum temperature for Incheon on September 14 because recent GFS and ECMWF model runs show overnight cooling under clear skies and light northwest winds stalling near that range after daytime highs reached 25–26°C. With the daily low still hours away and model spread of roughly 1–2°C, the near-even 50/41 split reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum rather than a strong consensus for either value. Historical September climatology for the area supports typical overnight drops into the mid-teens Celsius under similar high-pressure setups, but any slight increase in cloud cover or wind shift could keep readings closer to 20°C. Updated model guidance and official Incheon airport observations over the next several hours will likely resolve the narrow gap between these two outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
20°C 51%
19°C 22%
18°C 5%
17°C 2%
$15,220 Vol.
$15,220 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
36%
20°C
51%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 51%
19°C 22%
18°C 5%
17°C 2%
$15,220 Vol.
$15,220 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$419 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$494 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,013 Vol.
2%
18°C
$2,527 Vol.
5%
19°C
$6,695 Vol.
36%
20°C
$2,470 Vol.
51%
21°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$329 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 19–20°C as the most likely minimum temperature for Incheon on September 14 because recent GFS and ECMWF model runs show overnight cooling under clear skies and light northwest winds stalling near that range after daytime highs reached 25–26°C. With the daily low still hours away and model spread of roughly 1–2°C, the near-even 50/41 split reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum rather than a strong consensus for either value. Historical September climatology for the area supports typical overnight drops into the mid-teens Celsius under similar high-pressure setups, but any slight increase in cloud cover or wind shift could keep readings closer to 20°C. Updated model guidance and official Incheon airport observations over the next several hours will likely resolve the narrow gap between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$15,220Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 19–20°C as the most likely minimum temperature for Incheon on September 14 because recent GFS and ECMWF model runs show overnight cooling under clear skies and light northwest winds stalling near that range after daytime highs reached 25–26°C. With the daily low still hours away and model spread of roughly 1–2°C, the near-even 50/41 split reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum rather than a strong consensus for either value. Historical September climatology for the area supports typical overnight drops into the mid-teens Celsius under similar high-pressure setups, but any slight increase in cloud cover or wind shift could keep readings closer to 20°C. Updated model guidance and official Incheon airport observations over the next several hours will likely resolve the narrow gap between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,220Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 19–20°C as the most likely minimum temperature for Incheon on September 14 because recent GFS and ECMWF model runs show overnight cooling under clear skies and light northwest winds stalling near that range after daytime highs reached 25–26°C. With the daily low still hours away and model spread of roughly 1–2°C, the near-even 50/41 split reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum rather than a strong consensus for either value. Historical September climatology for the area supports typical overnight drops into the mid-teens Celsius under similar high-pressure setups, but any slight increase in cloud cover or wind shift could keep readings closer to 20°C. Updated model guidance and official Incheon airport observations over the next several hours will likely resolve the narrow gap between these two outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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