Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while light northeast to east winds and elevated dew points near 60°F moderate temperature drops. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F, with modest probability mass on 57°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58–59°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chicago on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 16?
57°F or below 50%
58-59°F 39%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
57°F or below
50%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76°F or higher
2%
57°F or below 50%
58-59°F 39%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
57°F or below
$71 Vol.
50%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
39%
60-61°F
$20 Vol.
22%
62-63°F
$20 Vol.
22%
64-65°F
$21 Vol.
31%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
23%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
39%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76°F or higher
$60 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while light northeast to east winds and elevated dew points near 60°F moderate temperature drops. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F, with modest probability mass on 57°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58–59°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$192Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while light northeast to east winds and elevated dew points near 60°F moderate temperature drops. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F, with modest probability mass on 57°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58–59°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$192Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-60s°F for Chicago on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiational cooling while light northeast to east winds and elevated dew points near 60°F moderate temperature drops. These conditions support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F, with modest probability mass on 57°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 58–59°F, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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