Clear skies and light northerly winds overnight are driving market-implied odds toward a Seoul-Incheon minimum of 16°C or 17°C on September 15, as multiple forecast models show radiative cooling under high pressure with dew points near 12–14°C. Calm conditions allow the boundary layer to cool efficiently after daytime highs around 24–26°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region when subtropical moisture retreats. Minor model spread on exact wind speeds or residual cloud cover creates the tight contest between those two outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply outside 15–18°C given the absence of frontal systems or strong advection. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of sunset will refine the precise low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 15?
16°C 36%
17°C 33%
15°C 15%
18°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
15%
16°C
36%
17°C
33%
18°C
11%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
1%
16°C 36%
17°C 33%
15°C 15%
18°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
12°C or below
$105 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$138 Vol.
4%
15°C
$248 Vol.
15%
16°C
$412 Vol.
36%
17°C
$862 Vol.
33%
18°C
$164 Vol.
11%
19°C
$203 Vol.
5%
20°C
$200 Vol.
3%
21°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$98 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northerly winds overnight are driving market-implied odds toward a Seoul-Incheon minimum of 16°C or 17°C on September 15, as multiple forecast models show radiative cooling under high pressure with dew points near 12–14°C. Calm conditions allow the boundary layer to cool efficiently after daytime highs around 24–26°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region when subtropical moisture retreats. Minor model spread on exact wind speeds or residual cloud cover creates the tight contest between those two outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply outside 15–18°C given the absence of frontal systems or strong advection. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of sunset will refine the precise low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,689Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northerly winds overnight are driving market-implied odds toward a Seoul-Incheon minimum of 16°C or 17°C on September 15, as multiple forecast models show radiative cooling under high pressure with dew points near 12–14°C. Calm conditions allow the boundary layer to cool efficiently after daytime highs around 24–26°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region when subtropical moisture retreats. Minor model spread on exact wind speeds or residual cloud cover creates the tight contest between those two outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply outside 15–18°C given the absence of frontal systems or strong advection. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of sunset will refine the precise low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,689Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northerly winds overnight are driving market-implied odds toward a Seoul-Incheon minimum of 16°C or 17°C on September 15, as multiple forecast models show radiative cooling under high pressure with dew points near 12–14°C. Calm conditions allow the boundary layer to cool efficiently after daytime highs around 24–26°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region when subtropical moisture retreats. Minor model spread on exact wind speeds or residual cloud cover creates the tight contest between those two outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply outside 15–18°C given the absence of frontal systems or strong advection. Updated model runs and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of sunset will refine the precise low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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