Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and European models, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Korean Peninsula, with Busan expected to see a daytime high near 29°C on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeasterly sea breezes. These coastal winds, typical for the region in mid-September, enhance mixing and limit daytime heating compared to inland areas, keeping temperatures well below historical heat-wave thresholds. Model consensus shows low variability in this short-range window, with minimal risk of either extreme advection of warm air masses or stronger onshore flow that could suppress readings further. Trader positioning around the 36°C threshold versus sub-26°C outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in precise boundary-layer evolution and potential microscale influences near the port, though official guidance points to a narrow range centered on late-summer norms. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on September 14?
30°C 40%
31°C 40%
32°C 37%
29°C 20%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C
20%
30°C
40%
31°C
40%
32°C
37%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
3%
30°C 40%
31°C 40%
32°C 37%
29°C 20%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C
20%
30°C
40%
31°C
40%
32°C
37%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and European models, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Korean Peninsula, with Busan expected to see a daytime high near 29°C on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southeasterly sea breezes. These coastal winds, typical for the region in mid-September, enhance mixing and limit daytime heating compared to inland areas, keeping temperatures well below historical heat-wave thresholds. Model consensus shows low variability in this short-range window, with minimal risk of either extreme advection of warm air masses or stronger onshore flow that could suppress readings further. Trader positioning around the 36°C threshold versus sub-26°C outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in precise boundary-layer evolution and potential microscale influences near the port, though official guidance points to a narrow range centered on late-summer norms. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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