Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–20°C for Warsaw’s September 14 maximum, reflecting short-range ensemble spreads in leading models where daytime highs hover near the 18–20°C September climatological average. Primary differentiation stems from uncertainties in low-level cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation, and boundary-layer mixing under light westerly flow; modest increases in cloud or shifts in advection of cooler maritime air can cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while clearer conditions allow brief radiative warming. Official guidance from regional centers shows limited spread at this lead time, yet the market’s near-even split between 19°C and 20°C captures residual model disagreement on exact timing of any weak frontal passage. New model cycles and observational updates over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
20°C 41%
19°C 33%
21°C 19%
22°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
11%
18°C
11%
19°C
33%
20°C
41%
21°C
19%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
7%
20°C 41%
19°C 33%
21°C 19%
22°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$5 Vol.
11%
19°C
$30 Vol.
33%
20°C
$17 Vol.
41%
21°C
$63 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
12%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–20°C for Warsaw’s September 14 maximum, reflecting short-range ensemble spreads in leading models where daytime highs hover near the 18–20°C September climatological average. Primary differentiation stems from uncertainties in low-level cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation, and boundary-layer mixing under light westerly flow; modest increases in cloud or shifts in advection of cooler maritime air can cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while clearer conditions allow brief radiative warming. Official guidance from regional centers shows limited spread at this lead time, yet the market’s near-even split between 19°C and 20°C captures residual model disagreement on exact timing of any weak frontal passage. New model cycles and observational updates over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$116Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–20°C for Warsaw’s September 14 maximum, reflecting short-range ensemble spreads in leading models where daytime highs hover near the 18–20°C September climatological average. Primary differentiation stems from uncertainties in low-level cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation, and boundary-layer mixing under light westerly flow; modest increases in cloud or shifts in advection of cooler maritime air can cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while clearer conditions allow brief radiative warming. Official guidance from regional centers shows limited spread at this lead time, yet the market’s near-even split between 19°C and 20°C captures residual model disagreement on exact timing of any weak frontal passage. New model cycles and observational updates over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$116Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–20°C for Warsaw’s September 14 maximum, reflecting short-range ensemble spreads in leading models where daytime highs hover near the 18–20°C September climatological average. Primary differentiation stems from uncertainties in low-level cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation, and boundary-layer mixing under light westerly flow; modest increases in cloud or shifts in advection of cooler maritime air can cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while clearer conditions allow brief radiative warming. Official guidance from regional centers shows limited spread at this lead time, yet the market’s near-even split between 19°C and 20°C captures residual model disagreement on exact timing of any weak frontal passage. New model cycles and observational updates over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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