Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 13, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies with limited diurnal heating and a modest chance of light showers. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 20°C (44%) and 21°C (31%), reflecting the narrow spread in guidance and absence of strong high-pressure ridging or cold advection that could shift extremes. Historical September climatology for Warsaw centers on daytime highs near 18–20°C, providing context for the current consensus. New model runs and observational updates through the evening will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
20°C 47%
21°C 34%
19°C 15%
23°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
15%
20°C
47%
21°C
34%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 47%
21°C 34%
19°C 15%
23°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
14°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$18 Vol.
2%
18°C
$161 Vol.
3%
19°C
$497 Vol.
15%
20°C
$750 Vol.
47%
21°C
$781 Vol.
34%
22°C
$237 Vol.
4%
23°C
$59 Vol.
4%
24°C or higher
$190 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 13, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies with limited diurnal heating and a modest chance of light showers. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 20°C (44%) and 21°C (31%), reflecting the narrow spread in guidance and absence of strong high-pressure ridging or cold advection that could shift extremes. Historical September climatology for Warsaw centers on daytime highs near 18–20°C, providing context for the current consensus. New model runs and observational updates through the evening will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,988Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 13, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies with limited diurnal heating and a modest chance of light showers. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 20°C (44%) and 21°C (31%), reflecting the narrow spread in guidance and absence of strong high-pressure ridging or cold advection that could shift extremes. Historical September climatology for Warsaw centers on daytime highs near 18–20°C, providing context for the current consensus. New model runs and observational updates through the evening will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,988Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 13, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies with limited diurnal heating and a modest chance of light showers. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 20°C (44%) and 21°C (31%), reflecting the narrow spread in guidance and absence of strong high-pressure ridging or cold advection that could shift extremes. Historical September climatology for Warsaw centers on daytime highs near 18–20°C, providing context for the current consensus. New model runs and observational updates through the evening will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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