Recent official forecasts from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models such as GFS indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 14 will likely reach 18–19 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable surface pressure near 750 hPa. These conditions favor modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.7 °C, with minimal precipitation risk and limited vertical mixing. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 18–20 °C outcomes captures remaining uncertainty from possible variations in cloud thickness or subtle shifts in steering flow that could trim or add 1 °C. Updated model runs and observational data releases over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any revision in the expected peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on September 14?
19°C 30%
18°C 27%
20°C 22%
17°C 14%
13°C or below
6%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
6%
17°C
14%
18°C
27%
19°C
30%
20°C
22%
21°C
5%
22°C
9%
23°C or higher
6%
19°C 30%
18°C 27%
20°C 22%
17°C 14%
13°C or below
6%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
6%
17°C
14%
18°C
27%
19°C
30%
20°C
22%
21°C
5%
22°C
9%
23°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical models such as GFS indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 14 will likely reach 18–19 °C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable surface pressure near 750 hPa. These conditions favor modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.7 °C, with minimal precipitation risk and limited vertical mixing. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 18–20 °C outcomes captures remaining uncertainty from possible variations in cloud thickness or subtle shifts in steering flow that could trim or add 1 °C. Updated model runs and observational data releases over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any revision in the expected peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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