Recent forecasts for Chengdu point to persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northerly winds on September 14 that are expected to limit daytime heating and cap the high near 25–27 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution across those outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus on suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from showers against any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 28 °C. Mid-September climatology for the Sichuan basin already shows a cooling trend and rising precipitation frequency, further anchoring probabilities away from higher or much lower extremes. Updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
27°C 26%
26°C 25%
28°C 21%
25°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C
19%
26°C
25%
27°C
26%
28°C
21%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 26%
26°C 25%
28°C 21%
25°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$7 Vol.
6%
24°C
$25 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$61 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$6 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu point to persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northerly winds on September 14 that are expected to limit daytime heating and cap the high near 25–27 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution across those outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus on suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from showers against any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 28 °C. Mid-September climatology for the Sichuan basin already shows a cooling trend and rising precipitation frequency, further anchoring probabilities away from higher or much lower extremes. Updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$99Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu point to persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northerly winds on September 14 that are expected to limit daytime heating and cap the high near 25–27 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution across those outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus on suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from showers against any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 28 °C. Mid-September climatology for the Sichuan basin already shows a cooling trend and rising precipitation frequency, further anchoring probabilities away from higher or much lower extremes. Updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu point to persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northerly winds on September 14 that are expected to limit daytime heating and cap the high near 25–27 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution across those outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus on suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling from showers against any brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 28 °C. Mid-September climatology for the Sichuan basin already shows a cooling trend and rising precipitation frequency, further anchoring probabilities away from higher or much lower extremes. Updated runs from global and regional models ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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