**Stable high-pressure conditions and light winds are driving the market's focus on a 19°C low for Incheon on September 13.** Global Forecast System runs and other models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies overnight, with temperatures bottoming out near 19°C (66–67°F) in the early morning hours amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and surface pressures near 1020 hPa. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or advection of warmer air. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the 18–20°C range under similar patterns, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 17–20°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus minimum from the latest model guidance, with limited upside risk from unexpected clearing or wind shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
19°C 41%
20°C 28%
18°C 18%
21°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
18%
19°C
41%
20°C
28%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 41%
20°C 28%
18°C 18%
21°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
$162 Vol.
1%
17°C
$332 Vol.
3%
18°C
$495 Vol.
18%
19°C
$371 Vol.
41%
20°C
$2,196 Vol.
28%
21°C
$1,148 Vol.
6%
22°C
$234 Vol.
1%
23°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$332 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and light winds are driving the market's focus on a 19°C low for Incheon on September 13.** Global Forecast System runs and other models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies overnight, with temperatures bottoming out near 19°C (66–67°F) in the early morning hours amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and surface pressures near 1020 hPa. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or advection of warmer air. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the 18–20°C range under similar patterns, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 17–20°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus minimum from the latest model guidance, with limited upside risk from unexpected clearing or wind shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$6,437Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and light winds are driving the market's focus on a 19°C low for Incheon on September 13.** Global Forecast System runs and other models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies overnight, with temperatures bottoming out near 19°C (66–67°F) in the early morning hours amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and surface pressures near 1020 hPa. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or advection of warmer air. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the 18–20°C range under similar patterns, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 17–20°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus minimum from the latest model guidance, with limited upside risk from unexpected clearing or wind shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,437Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and light winds are driving the market's focus on a 19°C low for Incheon on September 13.** Global Forecast System runs and other models indicate mostly cloudy to overcast skies overnight, with temperatures bottoming out near 19°C (66–67°F) in the early morning hours amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and surface pressures near 1020 hPa. This setup limits strong radiative cooling while preventing significant warming or advection of warmer air. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the 18–20°C range under similar patterns, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 17–20°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus minimum from the latest model guidance, with limited upside risk from unexpected clearing or wind shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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