Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's September 15 minimum will likely fall between 11–14°C amid persistent northwesterly winds, cloud cover, and scattered showers associated with a passing frontal system. The cold Benguela Current and Atlantic marine layer typically suppress daytime highs while limiting overnight radiative cooling, yet variable wind direction and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the exact low. Market-implied odds remain closely clustered around mid-teens and extreme outcomes because numerical weather prediction runs differ on the strength and timing of cooler air advection. Official minimum will be determined by South African Weather Service observations at the primary station, with any shift in steering flow or rainfall intensity capable of altering the recorded value before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 15?
9°C or below 59%
19°C or higher 59%
13°C 28%
14°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
9°C or below
59%
10°C
2%
11°C
22%
12°C
24%
13°C
28%
14°C
26%
15°C
22%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
17%
19°C or higher
59%
9°C or below 59%
19°C or higher 59%
13°C 28%
14°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
9°C or below
$10 Vol.
59%
10°C
$70 Vol.
2%
11°C
$8 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$2 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$5 Vol.
22%
16°C
$10 Vol.
8%
17°C
$10 Vol.
3%
18°C
$10 Vol.
17%
19°C or higher
$10 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's September 15 minimum will likely fall between 11–14°C amid persistent northwesterly winds, cloud cover, and scattered showers associated with a passing frontal system. The cold Benguela Current and Atlantic marine layer typically suppress daytime highs while limiting overnight radiative cooling, yet variable wind direction and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the exact low. Market-implied odds remain closely clustered around mid-teens and extreme outcomes because numerical weather prediction runs differ on the strength and timing of cooler air advection. Official minimum will be determined by South African Weather Service observations at the primary station, with any shift in steering flow or rainfall intensity capable of altering the recorded value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$136Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's September 15 minimum will likely fall between 11–14°C amid persistent northwesterly winds, cloud cover, and scattered showers associated with a passing frontal system. The cold Benguela Current and Atlantic marine layer typically suppress daytime highs while limiting overnight radiative cooling, yet variable wind direction and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the exact low. Market-implied odds remain closely clustered around mid-teens and extreme outcomes because numerical weather prediction runs differ on the strength and timing of cooler air advection. Official minimum will be determined by South African Weather Service observations at the primary station, with any shift in steering flow or rainfall intensity capable of altering the recorded value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's September 15 minimum will likely fall between 11–14°C amid persistent northwesterly winds, cloud cover, and scattered showers associated with a passing frontal system. The cold Benguela Current and Atlantic marine layer typically suppress daytime highs while limiting overnight radiative cooling, yet variable wind direction and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the exact low. Market-implied odds remain closely clustered around mid-teens and extreme outcomes because numerical weather prediction runs differ on the strength and timing of cooler air advection. Official minimum will be determined by South African Weather Service observations at the primary station, with any shift in steering flow or rainfall intensity capable of altering the recorded value before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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