A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an anticyclone aloft is sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting an official Hong Kong Observatory forecast minimum of 27°C for September 17. Real-time observations through midday show temperatures holding in the 27–30°C range with moderate easterly winds, consistent with the agency’s 27–32°C daily range and aligning with the market’s 89.5% implied probability for a 27°C low. Model consensus and climatological patterns for mid-September under similar monsoon regimes reinforce this outcome, while the slim 7.5% chance assigned to 26°C reflects only minor downside risk if localized cooling strengthens beyond current guidance. No significant forecast revisions or observational shifts have emerged to alter this positioning ahead of the day’s final minimum reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
27°C 92%
26°C 7%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
BARU
$28,920 Vol.
BARU
$28,920 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
92%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 92%
26°C 7%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
BARU
$28,920 Vol.
BARU
$28,920 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$86 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$110 Vol.
1%
24°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,481 Vol.
1%
26°C
$8,001 Vol.
7%
27°C
$11,413 Vol.
92%
28°C
$5,192 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,237 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an anticyclone aloft is sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting an official Hong Kong Observatory forecast minimum of 27°C for September 17. Real-time observations through midday show temperatures holding in the 27–30°C range with moderate easterly winds, consistent with the agency’s 27–32°C daily range and aligning with the market’s 89.5% implied probability for a 27°C low. Model consensus and climatological patterns for mid-September under similar monsoon regimes reinforce this outcome, while the slim 7.5% chance assigned to 26°C reflects only minor downside risk if localized cooling strengthens beyond current guidance. No significant forecast revisions or observational shifts have emerged to alter this positioning ahead of the day’s final minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$28,920Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an anticyclone aloft is sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting an official Hong Kong Observatory forecast minimum of 27°C for September 17. Real-time observations through midday show temperatures holding in the 27–30°C range with moderate easterly winds, consistent with the agency’s 27–32°C daily range and aligning with the market’s 89.5% implied probability for a 27°C low. Model consensus and climatological patterns for mid-September under similar monsoon regimes reinforce this outcome, while the slim 7.5% chance assigned to 26°C reflects only minor downside risk if localized cooling strengthens beyond current guidance. No significant forecast revisions or observational shifts have emerged to alter this positioning ahead of the day’s final minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,920Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A fresh northeast monsoon combined with an anticyclone aloft is sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting an official Hong Kong Observatory forecast minimum of 27°C for September 17. Real-time observations through midday show temperatures holding in the 27–30°C range with moderate easterly winds, consistent with the agency’s 27–32°C daily range and aligning with the market’s 89.5% implied probability for a 27°C low. Model consensus and climatological patterns for mid-September under similar monsoon regimes reinforce this outcome, while the slim 7.5% chance assigned to 26°C reflects only minor downside risk if localized cooling strengthens beyond current guidance. No significant forecast revisions or observational shifts have emerged to alter this positioning ahead of the day’s final minimum reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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