**Trader consensus centers on a 76-77°F high for Los Angeles on September 18, carrying 62% implied probability, with 74-75°F next at 26%.** This positioning aligns with current numerical weather prediction model output, including GFS guidance, showing afternoon maxima in the mid- to upper 70s under persistent southwest onshore flow. Marine-layer influence and typical September climatology—featuring average highs near 76°F at coastal stations like LAX—limit warming despite clear skies expected after morning low clouds. Recent observations from September 16–17 recorded highs of 79–77°F, with no heat-wave signals or offshore wind events to push temperatures higher. Lower-probability bins (78°F+) reflect only modest upside risk from model spread or slight weakening of the marine layer, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given stable high pressure and light winds. Resolution will hinge on the official NWS daily maximum at Los Angeles International Airport, with the latest model runs reinforcing the narrow 74–78°F window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 18?
76-77°F 64%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 4%
BARU
$11,478 Vol.
BARU
$11,478 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
64%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 64%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 4%
BARU
$11,478 Vol.
BARU
$11,478 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
63°F or below
$232 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$232 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$242 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$242 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$158 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$507 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$2,805 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$4,964 Vol.
64%
78-79°F
$1,214 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$518 Vol.
2%
82°F or higher
$362 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 76-77°F high for Los Angeles on September 18, carrying 62% implied probability, with 74-75°F next at 26%.** This positioning aligns with current numerical weather prediction model output, including GFS guidance, showing afternoon maxima in the mid- to upper 70s under persistent southwest onshore flow.
Marine-layer influence and typical September climatology—featuring average highs near 76°F at coastal stations like LAX—limit warming despite clear skies expected after morning low clouds. Recent observations from September 16–17 recorded highs of 79–77°F, with no heat-wave signals or offshore wind events to push temperatures higher. Lower-probability bins (78°F+) reflect only modest upside risk from model spread or slight weakening of the marine layer, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given stable high pressure and light winds.
Resolution will hinge on the official NWS daily maximum at Los Angeles International Airport, with the latest model runs reinforcing the narrow 74–78°F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,478Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 76-77°F high for Los Angeles on September 18, carrying 62% implied probability, with 74-75°F next at 26%.** This positioning aligns with current numerical weather prediction model output, including GFS guidance, showing afternoon maxima in the mid- to upper 70s under persistent southwest onshore flow.
Marine-layer influence and typical September climatology—featuring average highs near 76°F at coastal stations like LAX—limit warming despite clear skies expected after morning low clouds. Recent observations from September 16–17 recorded highs of 79–77°F, with no heat-wave signals or offshore wind events to push temperatures higher. Lower-probability bins (78°F+) reflect only modest upside risk from model spread or slight weakening of the marine layer, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given stable high pressure and light winds.
Resolution will hinge on the official NWS daily maximum at Los Angeles International Airport, with the latest model runs reinforcing the narrow 74–78°F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,478Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 76-77°F high for Los Angeles on September 18, carrying 62% implied probability, with 74-75°F next at 26%.** This positioning aligns with current numerical weather prediction model output, including GFS guidance, showing afternoon maxima in the mid- to upper 70s under persistent southwest onshore flow. Marine-layer influence and typical September climatology—featuring average highs near 76°F at coastal stations like LAX—limit warming despite clear skies expected after morning low clouds. Recent observations from September 16–17 recorded highs of 79–77°F, with no heat-wave signals or offshore wind events to push temperatures higher. Lower-probability bins (78°F+) reflect only modest upside risk from model spread or slight weakening of the marine layer, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given stable high pressure and light winds. Resolution will hinge on the official NWS daily maximum at Los Angeles International Airport, with the latest model runs reinforcing the narrow 74–78°F window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan