Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–27°C for Madrid on September 17, aligning with the market's narrow lead for those outcomes over 28°C. A cooling trend from early-September heat, driven by northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover, has moderated daytime maxima while keeping conditions dry. Key differentiators among 26–28°C include minor variations in afternoon insolation from partial cloudiness, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds around 10 km/h, and subtle model differences in thermal advection. Historical averages near 26.2°C provide context, with traders weighing the latest high-resolution runs and ensemble spread ahead of final observations from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
27°C 41%
26°C 30%
28°C 23%
29°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
15%
26°C
30%
27°C
41%
28°C
23%
29°C
16%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 30%
28°C 23%
29°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$221 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$8 Vol.
15%
26°C
$171 Vol.
30%
27°C
$335 Vol.
41%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–27°C for Madrid on September 17, aligning with the market's narrow lead for those outcomes over 28°C. A cooling trend from early-September heat, driven by northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover, has moderated daytime maxima while keeping conditions dry. Key differentiators among 26–28°C include minor variations in afternoon insolation from partial cloudiness, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds around 10 km/h, and subtle model differences in thermal advection. Historical averages near 26.2°C provide context, with traders weighing the latest high-resolution runs and ensemble spread ahead of final observations from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$736Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–27°C for Madrid on September 17, aligning with the market's narrow lead for those outcomes over 28°C. A cooling trend from early-September heat, driven by northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover, has moderated daytime maxima while keeping conditions dry. Key differentiators among 26–28°C include minor variations in afternoon insolation from partial cloudiness, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds around 10 km/h, and subtle model differences in thermal advection. Historical averages near 26.2°C provide context, with traders weighing the latest high-resolution runs and ensemble spread ahead of final observations from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$736Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–27°C for Madrid on September 17, aligning with the market's narrow lead for those outcomes over 28°C. A cooling trend from early-September heat, driven by northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover, has moderated daytime maxima while keeping conditions dry. Key differentiators among 26–28°C include minor variations in afternoon insolation from partial cloudiness, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds around 10 km/h, and subtle model differences in thermal advection. Historical averages near 26.2°C provide context, with traders weighing the latest high-resolution runs and ensemble spread ahead of final observations from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan