**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 32°C as the most probable daily maximum on September 17, 2026.** A northeast monsoon combined with a high-pressure ridge is sustaining clear skies, low humidity (55–85%), and dry conditions across the region, suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime heating. This setup aligns with climatological September maxima near 30–31°C but favors the upper end of the range given recent model consensus and minimal rainfall probability. Trader sentiment reflects the forecast's emphasis on 27–32°C, with 32°C capturing the majority share as the most likely peak under sustained easterly flow and solar radiation. Minor downward revisions to 31°C remain possible if winds strengthen or localized moisture increases slightly, while 33°C or higher stays unlikely absent any rapid warming signal. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
32°C 49%
31°C 41%
33°C 9%
34°C or higher <1%
$46,109 Vol.
$46,109 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
41%
32°C
49%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
<1%
32°C 49%
31°C 41%
33°C 9%
34°C or higher <1%
$46,109 Vol.
$46,109 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
41%
32°C
49%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 32°C as the most probable daily maximum on September 17, 2026.** A northeast monsoon combined with a high-pressure ridge is sustaining clear skies, low humidity (55–85%), and dry conditions across the region, suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime heating. This setup aligns with climatological September maxima near 30–31°C but favors the upper end of the range given recent model consensus and minimal rainfall probability. Trader sentiment reflects the forecast's emphasis on 27–32°C, with 32°C capturing the majority share as the most likely peak under sustained easterly flow and solar radiation. Minor downward revisions to 31°C remain possible if winds strengthen or localized moisture increases slightly, while 33°C or higher stays unlikely absent any rapid warming signal. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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