Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate fine, dry conditions under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with September 19 minimum temperatures expected near 25–27°C amid daytime highs of 32–33°C. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging 26°C and recent observations showing stable warmth without significant cooling from fronts or rain. Trader consensus favors 27°C and 26°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflect the low likelihood of atypical cooling in the current pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings through September 18 will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
27°C 50%
21°C or below 38%
25°C 38%
26°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
38%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
30%
25°C
38%
26°C
29%
27°C
50%
28°C
26%
29°C
32%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 50%
21°C or below 38%
25°C 38%
26°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
38%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C
$5 Vol.
29%
27°C
$71 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
32%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate fine, dry conditions under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with September 19 minimum temperatures expected near 25–27°C amid daytime highs of 32–33°C. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging 26°C and recent observations showing stable warmth without significant cooling from fronts or rain. Trader consensus favors 27°C and 26°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflect the low likelihood of atypical cooling in the current pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings through September 18 will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$76Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate fine, dry conditions under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with September 19 minimum temperatures expected near 25–27°C amid daytime highs of 32–33°C. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging 26°C and recent observations showing stable warmth without significant cooling from fronts or rain. Trader consensus favors 27°C and 26°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflect the low likelihood of atypical cooling in the current pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings through September 18 will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$76Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate fine, dry conditions under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with September 19 minimum temperatures expected near 25–27°C amid daytime highs of 32–33°C. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging 26°C and recent observations showing stable warmth without significant cooling from fronts or rain. Trader consensus favors 27°C and 26°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflect the low likelihood of atypical cooling in the current pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings through September 18 will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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