Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and national services points to a daytime high of 18–19°C in Moscow on September 19 under southwesterly flow of 3–5 m/s, partial cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. Mild advection from warmer Atlantic air and limited daytime heating from broken cloud keep values near seasonal norms rather than supporting stronger warming. Current conditions on the 18th, featuring cooler temperatures and showers in several runs, set up a modest rebound without crossing into the low 20s. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18°C and 19°C because ensemble spreads remain tightly clustered around these thresholds, with only modest upside risk for 20°C if insolation increases more than expected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on September 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 19?
18°C 42%
19°C 30%
17°C 19%
20°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
19%
18°C
42%
19°C
30%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 42%
19°C 30%
17°C 19%
20°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
13°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$26 Vol.
2%
17°C
$984 Vol.
19%
18°C
$741 Vol.
42%
19°C
$721 Vol.
30%
20°C
$451 Vol.
6%
21°C
$403 Vol.
3%
22°C
$32 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$35 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and national services points to a daytime high of 18–19°C in Moscow on September 19 under southwesterly flow of 3–5 m/s, partial cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. Mild advection from warmer Atlantic air and limited daytime heating from broken cloud keep values near seasonal norms rather than supporting stronger warming. Current conditions on the 18th, featuring cooler temperatures and showers in several runs, set up a modest rebound without crossing into the low 20s. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18°C and 19°C because ensemble spreads remain tightly clustered around these thresholds, with only modest upside risk for 20°C if insolation increases more than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,802Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and national services points to a daytime high of 18–19°C in Moscow on September 19 under southwesterly flow of 3–5 m/s, partial cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. Mild advection from warmer Atlantic air and limited daytime heating from broken cloud keep values near seasonal norms rather than supporting stronger warming. Current conditions on the 18th, featuring cooler temperatures and showers in several runs, set up a modest rebound without crossing into the low 20s. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18°C and 19°C because ensemble spreads remain tightly clustered around these thresholds, with only modest upside risk for 20°C if insolation increases more than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,802Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and national services points to a daytime high of 18–19°C in Moscow on September 19 under southwesterly flow of 3–5 m/s, partial cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk. Mild advection from warmer Atlantic air and limited daytime heating from broken cloud keep values near seasonal norms rather than supporting stronger warming. Current conditions on the 18th, featuring cooler temperatures and showers in several runs, set up a modest rebound without crossing into the low 20s. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 18°C and 19°C because ensemble spreads remain tightly clustered around these thresholds, with only modest upside risk for 20°C if insolation increases more than expected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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