Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula is driving clear skies, light southeast winds, and a warming trend that positions Madrid's September 20 maximum temperature near 30–32 °C according to consensus from models and official agencies. Current conditions show daytime highs climbing from the mid-20s °C earlier in the week toward the low 30s, consistent with late-summer climatology when subtropical ridges often deliver above-normal readings before autumn cooling sets in. Trader-implied odds reflect this outlook, with 31 °C leading at 58.5 % and nearby values capturing the narrow uncertainty band around official forecasts. Updated model runs and any shifts in ridge position or wind direction over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could alter the final daily maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on September 20?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 20?
31°C 72%
30°C 25%
29°C 17%
32°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
59%
32°C
17%
33°C
10%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 72%
30°C 25%
29°C 17%
32°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$38 Vol.
29%
31°C
$338 Vol.
59%
32°C
$49 Vol.
17%
33°C
$0 Vol.
10%
34°C
$0 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula is driving clear skies, light southeast winds, and a warming trend that positions Madrid's September 20 maximum temperature near 30–32 °C according to consensus from models and official agencies. Current conditions show daytime highs climbing from the mid-20s °C earlier in the week toward the low 30s, consistent with late-summer climatology when subtropical ridges often deliver above-normal readings before autumn cooling sets in. Trader-implied odds reflect this outlook, with 31 °C leading at 58.5 % and nearby values capturing the narrow uncertainty band around official forecasts. Updated model runs and any shifts in ridge position or wind direction over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could alter the final daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$435Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula is driving clear skies, light southeast winds, and a warming trend that positions Madrid's September 20 maximum temperature near 30–32 °C according to consensus from models and official agencies. Current conditions show daytime highs climbing from the mid-20s °C earlier in the week toward the low 30s, consistent with late-summer climatology when subtropical ridges often deliver above-normal readings before autumn cooling sets in. Trader-implied odds reflect this outlook, with 31 °C leading at 58.5 % and nearby values capturing the narrow uncertainty band around official forecasts. Updated model runs and any shifts in ridge position or wind direction over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could alter the final daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$435Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula is driving clear skies, light southeast winds, and a warming trend that positions Madrid's September 20 maximum temperature near 30–32 °C according to consensus from models and official agencies. Current conditions show daytime highs climbing from the mid-20s °C earlier in the week toward the low 30s, consistent with late-summer climatology when subtropical ridges often deliver above-normal readings before autumn cooling sets in. Trader-implied odds reflect this outlook, with 31 °C leading at 58.5 % and nearby values capturing the narrow uncertainty band around official forecasts. Updated model runs and any shifts in ridge position or wind direction over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could alter the final daily maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan