Recent forecast models, including GFS runs updated on September 17, point to a highest temperature in Beijing on September 18 most likely in the 27–30°C range under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and possible scattered drizzle. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29°C and 28°C, as afternoon peaks are expected near 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and no strong frontal systems. Historical September averages in the city hover around 25–28°C, providing context for the current consensus. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined model ensembles over the next 12–24 hours represent key data points that could shift trader sentiment if they revise peak readings downward due to increased cloud cover or precipitation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
29°C 38%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
27°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
27%
29°C
38%
30°C
20%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
27°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
23°C or below
$279 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$920 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$719 Vol.
1%
26°C
$373 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,104 Vol.
13%
28°C
$968 Vol.
27%
29°C
$1,298 Vol.
38%
30°C
$822 Vol.
20%
31°C
$296 Vol.
5%
32°C
$315 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$203 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models, including GFS runs updated on September 17, point to a highest temperature in Beijing on September 18 most likely in the 27–30°C range under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and possible scattered drizzle. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29°C and 28°C, as afternoon peaks are expected near 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and no strong frontal systems. Historical September averages in the city hover around 25–28°C, providing context for the current consensus. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined model ensembles over the next 12–24 hours represent key data points that could shift trader sentiment if they revise peak readings downward due to increased cloud cover or precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,297Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models, including GFS runs updated on September 17, point to a highest temperature in Beijing on September 18 most likely in the 27–30°C range under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and possible scattered drizzle. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29°C and 28°C, as afternoon peaks are expected near 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and no strong frontal systems. Historical September averages in the city hover around 25–28°C, providing context for the current consensus. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined model ensembles over the next 12–24 hours represent key data points that could shift trader sentiment if they revise peak readings downward due to increased cloud cover or precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,297Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models, including GFS runs updated on September 17, point to a highest temperature in Beijing on September 18 most likely in the 27–30°C range under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and possible scattered drizzle. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 29°C and 28°C, as afternoon peaks are expected near 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and no strong frontal systems. Historical September averages in the city hover around 25–28°C, providing context for the current consensus. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined model ensembles over the next 12–24 hours represent key data points that could shift trader sentiment if they revise peak readings downward due to increased cloud cover or precipitation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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