**Latest ensemble forecasts for Qingdao on September 19, 2026, point to a daytime high near 25–27°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies with light southerly to southeasterly winds of 3–4 m/s.** Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity levels around 60–70% are expected to limit further warming, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region where average highs hover near 26°C. Multiple sources, including PredictWind, WindBorne, and Chinese meteorological platforms, converge on this range with minimal precipitation risk. Trader consensus pricing 29–30°C as the modal outcomes at combined ~84% implied probability likely reflects expectations of model spread, potential localized heating, or differences between official station readings and broader forecast grids. Upcoming updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 19?
30°C 47%
29°C 37%
31°C 13%
28°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
37%
30°C
47%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
1%
30°C 47%
29°C 37%
31°C 13%
28°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
37%
30°C
47%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts for Qingdao on September 19, 2026, point to a daytime high near 25–27°C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies with light southerly to southeasterly winds of 3–4 m/s.** Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity levels around 60–70% are expected to limit further warming, consistent with mid-September climatology for the region where average highs hover near 26°C. Multiple sources, including PredictWind, WindBorne, and Chinese meteorological platforms, converge on this range with minimal precipitation risk. Trader consensus pricing 29–30°C as the modal outcomes at combined ~84% implied probability likely reflects expectations of model spread, potential localized heating, or differences between official station readings and broader forecast grids. Upcoming updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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