**Recent cold air advection from the north, coupled with widespread precipitation on September 17–18, is the dominant driver moderating Wuhan’s maximum temperature.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a frontal passage bringing northeast winds, cloud cover, and showers that suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This setup favors a highest temperature clustered in the 23–26 °C range, consistent with market-implied odds showing near-equal probabilities for 24 °C and 25 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud persistence, and boundary-layer moisture; drier breaks or delayed clearing could push readings toward 26 °C, while prolonged rain or stronger northerly flow would favor 23 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 18?
25°C 26%
24°C 25%
26°C 23%
23°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
16%
23°C
19%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
23%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 26%
24°C 25%
26°C 23%
23°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$156 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
16%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cold air advection from the north, coupled with widespread precipitation on September 17–18, is the dominant driver moderating Wuhan’s maximum temperature.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a frontal passage bringing northeast winds, cloud cover, and showers that suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This setup favors a highest temperature clustered in the 23–26 °C range, consistent with market-implied odds showing near-equal probabilities for 24 °C and 25 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud persistence, and boundary-layer moisture; drier breaks or delayed clearing could push readings toward 26 °C, while prolonged rain or stronger northerly flow would favor 23 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$156Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cold air advection from the north, coupled with widespread precipitation on September 17–18, is the dominant driver moderating Wuhan’s maximum temperature.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a frontal passage bringing northeast winds, cloud cover, and showers that suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This setup favors a highest temperature clustered in the 23–26 °C range, consistent with market-implied odds showing near-equal probabilities for 24 °C and 25 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud persistence, and boundary-layer moisture; drier breaks or delayed clearing could push readings toward 26 °C, while prolonged rain or stronger northerly flow would favor 23 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$156Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent cold air advection from the north, coupled with widespread precipitation on September 17–18, is the dominant driver moderating Wuhan’s maximum temperature.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a frontal passage bringing northeast winds, cloud cover, and showers that suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. This setup favors a highest temperature clustered in the 23–26 °C range, consistent with market-implied odds showing near-equal probabilities for 24 °C and 25 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing, cloud persistence, and boundary-layer moisture; drier breaks or delayed clearing could push readings toward 26 °C, while prolonged rain or stronger northerly flow would favor 23 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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