Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the South African Weather Service, indicate a maximum of 19–21°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clearing skies and moderate southeasterly winds following a cold front. This setup, with dry air and limited cloud cover, supports the market-implied 63.5% odds on 21°C and 28% on 22°C as the leading outcomes. Historical September averages near 18°C provide context, while current model consensus and the absence of significant warming factors like northerly flow keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow range. Updated runs from agencies such as the South African Weather Service or NOAA equivalents expected later today could refine these trader-assessed odds if any deviation emerges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 18?
21°C 64%
22°C 28%
23°C 5%
19°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
64%
22°C
28%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 64%
22°C 28%
23°C 5%
19°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
$407 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$169 Vol.
1%
18°C
$228 Vol.
1%
19°C
$268 Vol.
4%
20°C
$311 Vol.
4%
21°C
$1,812 Vol.
64%
22°C
$575 Vol.
28%
23°C
$460 Vol.
5%
24°C
$179 Vol.
1%
25°C
$179 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$344 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the South African Weather Service, indicate a maximum of 19–21°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clearing skies and moderate southeasterly winds following a cold front. This setup, with dry air and limited cloud cover, supports the market-implied 63.5% odds on 21°C and 28% on 22°C as the leading outcomes. Historical September averages near 18°C provide context, while current model consensus and the absence of significant warming factors like northerly flow keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow range. Updated runs from agencies such as the South African Weather Service or NOAA equivalents expected later today could refine these trader-assessed odds if any deviation emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,932Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the South African Weather Service, indicate a maximum of 19–21°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clearing skies and moderate southeasterly winds following a cold front. This setup, with dry air and limited cloud cover, supports the market-implied 63.5% odds on 21°C and 28% on 22°C as the leading outcomes. Historical September averages near 18°C provide context, while current model consensus and the absence of significant warming factors like northerly flow keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow range. Updated runs from agencies such as the South African Weather Service or NOAA equivalents expected later today could refine these trader-assessed odds if any deviation emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,932Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with the South African Weather Service, indicate a maximum of 19–21°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clearing skies and moderate southeasterly winds following a cold front. This setup, with dry air and limited cloud cover, supports the market-implied 63.5% odds on 21°C and 28% on 22°C as the leading outcomes. Historical September averages near 18°C provide context, while current model consensus and the absence of significant warming factors like northerly flow keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow range. Updated runs from agencies such as the South African Weather Service or NOAA equivalents expected later today could refine these trader-assessed odds if any deviation emerges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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