Recent forecast models from the Met Office and Open-Meteo ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under a stable high-pressure regime near 1021 hPa, with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 22°C outcome at 60% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C, as current conditions show no strong warming or cooling signals that would push extremes. September 2026 has run above the 14°C climatological mean, but the approaching frontal system after the 19th supports a mild peak consistent with late-summer norms rather than late-month cooling. Final hourly observations will resolve the exact daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
22°C 64%
21°C 31%
23°C 7%
20°C 2%
$11,565 Vol.
$11,565 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
31%
22°C
64%
23°C
7%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 64%
21°C 31%
23°C 7%
20°C 2%
$11,565 Vol.
$11,565 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
31%
22°C
64%
23°C
7%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Met Office and Open-Meteo ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Warsaw on September 19 under a stable high-pressure regime near 1021 hPa, with light southwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 22°C outcome at 60% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C, as current conditions show no strong warming or cooling signals that would push extremes. September 2026 has run above the 14°C climatological mean, but the approaching frontal system after the 19th supports a mild peak consistent with late-summer norms rather than late-month cooling. Final hourly observations will resolve the exact daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan