**Forecast consensus from models and official sources positions 27°C as the most likely high for Incheon on September 17, aligning with the 56% market-implied probability.** Current atmospheric conditions feature stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Multiple forecasts, including those from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, project afternoon maxima of 25–28°C, with several runs centering near 27°C under typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Recent observations show gradual warming from mid-September baselines without incoming fronts or significant moisture that would alter the thermal profile. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could nudge the outcome between 26°C and 28°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers outside observed model agreement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?
27°C 57%
28°C 25%
26°C 16%
25°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
57%
28°C
25%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 57%
28°C 25%
26°C 16%
25°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
22°C or below
$315 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$492 Vol.
2%
25°C
$645 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,891 Vol.
16%
27°C
$1,153 Vol.
57%
28°C
$1,684 Vol.
25%
29°C
$368 Vol.
3%
30°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,412 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$323 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models and official sources positions 27°C as the most likely high for Incheon on September 17, aligning with the 56% market-implied probability.** Current atmospheric conditions feature stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Multiple forecasts, including those from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, project afternoon maxima of 25–28°C, with several runs centering near 27°C under typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Recent observations show gradual warming from mid-September baselines without incoming fronts or significant moisture that would alter the thermal profile. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could nudge the outcome between 26°C and 28°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers outside observed model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,707Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models and official sources positions 27°C as the most likely high for Incheon on September 17, aligning with the 56% market-implied probability.** Current atmospheric conditions feature stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Multiple forecasts, including those from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, project afternoon maxima of 25–28°C, with several runs centering near 27°C under typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Recent observations show gradual warming from mid-September baselines without incoming fronts or significant moisture that would alter the thermal profile. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could nudge the outcome between 26°C and 28°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers outside observed model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,707Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from models and official sources positions 27°C as the most likely high for Incheon on September 17, aligning with the 56% market-implied probability.** Current atmospheric conditions feature stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Multiple forecasts, including those from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, project afternoon maxima of 25–28°C, with several runs centering near 27°C under typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Recent observations show gradual warming from mid-September baselines without incoming fronts or significant moisture that would alter the thermal profile. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly any shifts in cloud cover or wind that could nudge the outcome between 26°C and 28°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow scientific range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers outside observed model agreement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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