Current forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, driven by a warm air mass ahead of an approaching frontal system with scattered thunderstorms expected later in the day. This exceeds the historical mid-September average high of roughly 19–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with winds shifting westerly and precipitation unlikely to suppress the daytime peak significantly. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 25°C (29.5%) and 26°C (40.0%) to reflect this narrow range, while assigning minimal odds to extremes above 27°C or below 24°C given stable steering patterns and no major model shifts in the past 48 hours. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 16?
26°C 40%
25°C 21%
27°C 18%
24°C 13%
BARU
$10,382 Vol.
BARU
$10,382 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
13%
25°C
21%
26°C
40%
27°C
18%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 21%
27°C 18%
24°C 13%
BARU
$10,382 Vol.
BARU
$10,382 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$944 Vol.
5%
24°C
$609 Vol.
13%
25°C
$1,916 Vol.
21%
26°C
$1,950 Vol.
40%
27°C
$1,328 Vol.
18%
28°C
$952 Vol.
3%
29°C
$137 Vol.
1%
30°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$986 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$640 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$697 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, driven by a warm air mass ahead of an approaching frontal system with scattered thunderstorms expected later in the day. This exceeds the historical mid-September average high of roughly 19–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with winds shifting westerly and precipitation unlikely to suppress the daytime peak significantly. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 25°C (29.5%) and 26°C (40.0%) to reflect this narrow range, while assigning minimal odds to extremes above 27°C or below 24°C given stable steering patterns and no major model shifts in the past 48 hours. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,382Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, driven by a warm air mass ahead of an approaching frontal system with scattered thunderstorms expected later in the day. This exceeds the historical mid-September average high of roughly 19–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with winds shifting westerly and precipitation unlikely to suppress the daytime peak significantly. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 25°C (29.5%) and 26°C (40.0%) to reflect this narrow range, while assigning minimal odds to extremes above 27°C or below 24°C given stable steering patterns and no major model shifts in the past 48 hours. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,382Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, driven by a warm air mass ahead of an approaching frontal system with scattered thunderstorms expected later in the day. This exceeds the historical mid-September average high of roughly 19–20°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with winds shifting westerly and precipitation unlikely to suppress the daytime peak significantly. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 25°C (29.5%) and 26°C (40.0%) to reflect this narrow range, while assigning minimal odds to extremes above 27°C or below 24°C given stable steering patterns and no major model shifts in the past 48 hours. Updated runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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