Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low near 13°C for Mexico City on September 16, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling under late rainy-season humidity. Cloud cover and light showers moderate extremes by trapping heat, while clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow dips toward 11–12°C. September climatology shows typical lows of 13–14°C, with current conditions lacking strong cold-air advection or dry northerly flows that would push readings lower. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, as small shifts in evening cloud or precipitation timing can separate a 13°C minimum from 14°C or 12°C thresholds. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
16°C or higher 61%
13°C 48%
14°C 45%
15°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
15%
10°C
28%
11°C
15%
12°C
22%
13°C
39%
14°C
27%
15°C
21%
16°C or higher
61%
16°C or higher 61%
13°C 48%
14°C 45%
15°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
7°C
$0 Vol.
1%
8°C
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
15%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11°C
$0 Vol.
15%
12°C
$1 Vol.
22%
13°C
$14 Vol.
39%
14°C
$21 Vol.
27%
15°C
$12 Vol.
21%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low near 13°C for Mexico City on September 16, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling under late rainy-season humidity. Cloud cover and light showers moderate extremes by trapping heat, while clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow dips toward 11–12°C. September climatology shows typical lows of 13–14°C, with current conditions lacking strong cold-air advection or dry northerly flows that would push readings lower. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, as small shifts in evening cloud or precipitation timing can separate a 13°C minimum from 14°C or 12°C thresholds. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$48Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low near 13°C for Mexico City on September 16, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling under late rainy-season humidity. Cloud cover and light showers moderate extremes by trapping heat, while clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow dips toward 11–12°C. September climatology shows typical lows of 13–14°C, with current conditions lacking strong cold-air advection or dry northerly flows that would push readings lower. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, as small shifts in evening cloud or precipitation timing can separate a 13°C minimum from 14°C or 12°C thresholds. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low near 13°C for Mexico City on September 16, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling under late rainy-season humidity. Cloud cover and light showers moderate extremes by trapping heat, while clearer intervals or lighter winds could allow dips toward 11–12°C. September climatology shows typical lows of 13–14°C, with current conditions lacking strong cold-air advection or dry northerly flows that would push readings lower. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, as small shifts in evening cloud or precipitation timing can separate a 13°C minimum from 14°C or 12°C thresholds. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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