Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological agencies show Sao Paulo's maximum temperature on September 17 likely peaking between 17–19°C, creating tight market-implied odds as traders weigh subtle differences in diurnal heating. Primary drivers include a weak cold front passage moderating afternoon warmth, combined with typical springtime variability in the Serra do Mar region and urban heat island effects at the official monitoring station. Historical September averages near 22°C contrast with current cooler-than-normal conditions tied to stronger-than-usual southerly flow. Key resolution factors are the precise daily maximum recorded by INMET, with any late-day warming or measurement timing potentially shifting outcomes among the closely clustered probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 17?
18°C 32%
17°C 28%
19°C 22%
16°C 10%
BARU
$10,099 Vol.
BARU
$10,099 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
10%
17°C
28%
18°C
32%
19°C
22%
20°C
7%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 32%
17°C 28%
19°C 22%
16°C 10%
BARU
$10,099 Vol.
BARU
$10,099 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
$1,246 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,209 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$222 Vol.
1%
16°C
$660 Vol.
10%
17°C
$1,289 Vol.
28%
18°C
$2,019 Vol.
32%
19°C
$1,292 Vol.
22%
20°C
$943 Vol.
7%
21°C or higher
$763 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological agencies show Sao Paulo's maximum temperature on September 17 likely peaking between 17–19°C, creating tight market-implied odds as traders weigh subtle differences in diurnal heating. Primary drivers include a weak cold front passage moderating afternoon warmth, combined with typical springtime variability in the Serra do Mar region and urban heat island effects at the official monitoring station. Historical September averages near 22°C contrast with current cooler-than-normal conditions tied to stronger-than-usual southerly flow. Key resolution factors are the precise daily maximum recorded by INMET, with any late-day warming or measurement timing potentially shifting outcomes among the closely clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$10,099Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological agencies show Sao Paulo's maximum temperature on September 17 likely peaking between 17–19°C, creating tight market-implied odds as traders weigh subtle differences in diurnal heating. Primary drivers include a weak cold front passage moderating afternoon warmth, combined with typical springtime variability in the Serra do Mar region and urban heat island effects at the official monitoring station. Historical September averages near 22°C contrast with current cooler-than-normal conditions tied to stronger-than-usual southerly flow. Key resolution factors are the precise daily maximum recorded by INMET, with any late-day warming or measurement timing potentially shifting outcomes among the closely clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,099Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological agencies show Sao Paulo's maximum temperature on September 17 likely peaking between 17–19°C, creating tight market-implied odds as traders weigh subtle differences in diurnal heating. Primary drivers include a weak cold front passage moderating afternoon warmth, combined with typical springtime variability in the Serra do Mar region and urban heat island effects at the official monitoring station. Historical September averages near 22°C contrast with current cooler-than-normal conditions tied to stronger-than-usual southerly flow. Key resolution factors are the precise daily maximum recorded by INMET, with any late-day warming or measurement timing potentially shifting outcomes among the closely clustered probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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