**Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a lowest temperature of 74–75°F (85% implied probability) for Miami on September 19, 2026, with 72–73°F at 8% and lower ranges under 5% combined.** National Weather Service forecasts issued the morning of September 19 project an early-morning low near 76°F for Miami and 78°F for Miami Beach under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with National Hurricane Center and NOAA guidance for the region. Persistent easterly flow, high atmospheric moisture, and typical late-September subtropical conditions—lacking any cold-front intrusion or significant radiational cooling—support overnight minima in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no indications of stronger cooling from sea-breeze effects or precipitation timing that would push readings into the low 70s or below. The market-implied odds align closely with this official forecast range, reflecting traders’ assessment of stable warm-air advection and high humidity limiting temperature drops. Upcoming NWS updates and any revised model runs could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 19?
74-75°F 85%
72-73°F 8%
70-71°F 6%
69°F or below 1.0%
$5,009 Vol.
$5,009 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
85%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 85%
72-73°F 8%
70-71°F 6%
69°F or below 1.0%
$5,009 Vol.
$5,009 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
69°F or below
$134 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$314 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$427 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$723 Vol.
85%
76-77°F
$1,529 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$440 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$41 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$118 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$108 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,137 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a lowest temperature of 74–75°F (85% implied probability) for Miami on September 19, 2026, with 72–73°F at 8% and lower ranges under 5% combined.**
National Weather Service forecasts issued the morning of September 19 project an early-morning low near 76°F for Miami and 78°F for Miami Beach under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with National Hurricane Center and NOAA guidance for the region. Persistent easterly flow, high atmospheric moisture, and typical late-September subtropical conditions—lacking any cold-front intrusion or significant radiational cooling—support overnight minima in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no indications of stronger cooling from sea-breeze effects or precipitation timing that would push readings into the low 70s or below. The market-implied odds align closely with this official forecast range, reflecting traders’ assessment of stable warm-air advection and high humidity limiting temperature drops. Upcoming NWS updates and any revised model runs could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,009Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a lowest temperature of 74–75°F (85% implied probability) for Miami on September 19, 2026, with 72–73°F at 8% and lower ranges under 5% combined.**
National Weather Service forecasts issued the morning of September 19 project an early-morning low near 76°F for Miami and 78°F for Miami Beach under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with National Hurricane Center and NOAA guidance for the region. Persistent easterly flow, high atmospheric moisture, and typical late-September subtropical conditions—lacking any cold-front intrusion or significant radiational cooling—support overnight minima in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no indications of stronger cooling from sea-breeze effects or precipitation timing that would push readings into the low 70s or below. The market-implied odds align closely with this official forecast range, reflecting traders’ assessment of stable warm-air advection and high humidity limiting temperature drops. Upcoming NWS updates and any revised model runs could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,009Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a lowest temperature of 74–75°F (85% implied probability) for Miami on September 19, 2026, with 72–73°F at 8% and lower ranges under 5% combined.** National Weather Service forecasts issued the morning of September 19 project an early-morning low near 76°F for Miami and 78°F for Miami Beach under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with National Hurricane Center and NOAA guidance for the region. Persistent easterly flow, high atmospheric moisture, and typical late-September subtropical conditions—lacking any cold-front intrusion or significant radiational cooling—support overnight minima in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no indications of stronger cooling from sea-breeze effects or precipitation timing that would push readings into the low 70s or below. The market-implied odds align closely with this official forecast range, reflecting traders’ assessment of stable warm-air advection and high humidity limiting temperature drops. Upcoming NWS updates and any revised model runs could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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