Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate mainly fine, dry conditions under an aloft anticyclone on September 20, with daytime highs of 32–33°C across urban areas and slightly higher readings possible inland. This setup favors 33°C as the market leader at 58.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C, reflecting the narrow range of expected maxima near September’s climatological baseline of about 30–31°C. Light easterly winds, low precipitation chances until later in the day, and minimal model spread support limited upside to 34°C or above. Updated guidance on steering patterns and any convective development could shift the final observed peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
33°C 59%
32°C 26%
34°C 15%
31°C 6%
BARU
$28,744 Vol.
BARU
$28,744 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
26%
33°C
59%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 26%
34°C 15%
31°C 6%
BARU
$28,744 Vol.
BARU
$28,744 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,409 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$519 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,608 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5,343 Vol.
6%
32°C
$3,855 Vol.
26%
33°C
$10,060 Vol.
59%
34°C
$1,791 Vol.
15%
35°C
$1,281 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$1,104 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate mainly fine, dry conditions under an aloft anticyclone on September 20, with daytime highs of 32–33°C across urban areas and slightly higher readings possible inland. This setup favors 33°C as the market leader at 58.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C, reflecting the narrow range of expected maxima near September’s climatological baseline of about 30–31°C. Light easterly winds, low precipitation chances until later in the day, and minimal model spread support limited upside to 34°C or above. Updated guidance on steering patterns and any convective development could shift the final observed peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$28,744Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate mainly fine, dry conditions under an aloft anticyclone on September 20, with daytime highs of 32–33°C across urban areas and slightly higher readings possible inland. This setup favors 33°C as the market leader at 58.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C, reflecting the narrow range of expected maxima near September’s climatological baseline of about 30–31°C. Light easterly winds, low precipitation chances until later in the day, and minimal model spread support limited upside to 34°C or above. Updated guidance on steering patterns and any convective development could shift the final observed peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,744Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate mainly fine, dry conditions under an aloft anticyclone on September 20, with daytime highs of 32–33°C across urban areas and slightly higher readings possible inland. This setup favors 33°C as the market leader at 58.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C, reflecting the narrow range of expected maxima near September’s climatological baseline of about 30–31°C. Light easterly winds, low precipitation chances until later in the day, and minimal model spread support limited upside to 34°C or above. Updated guidance on steering patterns and any convective development could shift the final observed peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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