Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 20 project a minimum of 27°C under an anticyclone aloft, with east to northeast winds of force 2–3, sunny periods, and dry conditions keeping overnight lows elevated. This aligns with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for 27°C and supports the secondary 26.5% odds for 26°C, as model consensus shows limited nocturnal cooling amid 55–90% relative humidity and sea surface temperatures near 27°C. No active tropical systems or frontal passages are expected in the next 48 hours to drive sharper drops, though isolated showers later could introduce minor variability. Traders are weighting the official minimum threshold heavily ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
27°C 55%
26°C 27%
28°C 13%
22°C or below 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
11%
23°C
11%
24°C
11%
25°C
10%
26°C
27%
27°C
55%
28°C
13%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 55%
26°C 27%
28°C 13%
22°C or below 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$0 Vol.
11%
25°C
$136 Vol.
10%
26°C
$3 Vol.
27%
27°C
$228 Vol.
55%
28°C
$0 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$16 Vol.
1%
31°C
$16 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 20 project a minimum of 27°C under an anticyclone aloft, with east to northeast winds of force 2–3, sunny periods, and dry conditions keeping overnight lows elevated. This aligns with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for 27°C and supports the secondary 26.5% odds for 26°C, as model consensus shows limited nocturnal cooling amid 55–90% relative humidity and sea surface temperatures near 27°C. No active tropical systems or frontal passages are expected in the next 48 hours to drive sharper drops, though isolated showers later could introduce minor variability. Traders are weighting the official minimum threshold heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$415Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 20 project a minimum of 27°C under an anticyclone aloft, with east to northeast winds of force 2–3, sunny periods, and dry conditions keeping overnight lows elevated. This aligns with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for 27°C and supports the secondary 26.5% odds for 26°C, as model consensus shows limited nocturnal cooling amid 55–90% relative humidity and sea surface temperatures near 27°C. No active tropical systems or frontal passages are expected in the next 48 hours to drive sharper drops, though isolated showers later could introduce minor variability. Traders are weighting the official minimum threshold heavily ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$415Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 20 project a minimum of 27°C under an anticyclone aloft, with east to northeast winds of force 2–3, sunny periods, and dry conditions keeping overnight lows elevated. This aligns with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for 27°C and supports the secondary 26.5% odds for 26°C, as model consensus shows limited nocturnal cooling amid 55–90% relative humidity and sea surface temperatures near 27°C. No active tropical systems or frontal passages are expected in the next 48 hours to drive sharper drops, though isolated showers later could introduce minor variability. Traders are weighting the official minimum threshold heavily ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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