Recent National Weather Service point forecasts and supporting model guidance project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 20 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible rain chances. This places the most likely outcome in the upper 90s, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 96–99°F while leaving room for modest upside if afternoon heating or reduced cloud cover exceeds expectations. Persistent upper-level ridging supports above-average temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 September 20 climatology of 90°F, though light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture introduce a few-degree spread across guidance. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on September 20?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 20?
96-97°F 32%
98-99°F 28%
100-101°F 20%
94-95°F 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
89°F or below
5%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
20%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
5%
108°F or higher
5%
96-97°F 32%
98-99°F 28%
100-101°F 20%
94-95°F 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
89°F or below
$0 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$15 Vol.
8%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
11%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$21 Vol.
32%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
28%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
20%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
10%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
5%
108°F or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service point forecasts and supporting model guidance project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 20 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible rain chances. This places the most likely outcome in the upper 90s, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 96–99°F while leaving room for modest upside if afternoon heating or reduced cloud cover exceeds expectations. Persistent upper-level ridging supports above-average temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 September 20 climatology of 90°F, though light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture introduce a few-degree spread across guidance. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$36Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service point forecasts and supporting model guidance project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 20 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible rain chances. This places the most likely outcome in the upper 90s, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 96–99°F while leaving room for modest upside if afternoon heating or reduced cloud cover exceeds expectations. Persistent upper-level ridging supports above-average temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 September 20 climatology of 90°F, though light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture introduce a few-degree spread across guidance. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service point forecasts and supporting model guidance project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on September 20 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and negligible rain chances. This places the most likely outcome in the upper 90s, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 96–99°F while leaving room for modest upside if afternoon heating or reduced cloud cover exceeds expectations. Persistent upper-level ridging supports above-average temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 September 20 climatology of 90°F, though light winds and variable boundary-layer moisture introduce a few-degree spread across guidance. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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