Persistent marine layer clouds and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, keeping the highest temperature well below the early-September climatological average of 71°F. Official National Weather Service and model guidance as of September 19 point to a high near 64–66°F under mostly cloudy skies, with west-southwest winds of 5–15 mph limiting warming. This forecast stability, absent any significant model shifts or clearing trends in the past 24 hours, underpins the heavy market weighting on the 64–67°F range. Traders appear to price in minor uncertainty around exact peak timing or station-specific readings while discounting warmer outcomes that would require unexpected ridging or marine-layer erosion.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
66-67°F 42%
64-65°F 29%
68-69°F 20%
62-63°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
42%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 42%
64-65°F 29%
68-69°F 20%
62-63°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
59°F or below
$165 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$10 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$266 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$1,157 Vol.
29%
66-67°F
$382 Vol.
42%
68-69°F
$787 Vol.
20%
70-71°F
$403 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$559 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$126 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$6 Vol.
1%
78°F or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer clouds and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, keeping the highest temperature well below the early-September climatological average of 71°F. Official National Weather Service and model guidance as of September 19 point to a high near 64–66°F under mostly cloudy skies, with west-southwest winds of 5–15 mph limiting warming. This forecast stability, absent any significant model shifts or clearing trends in the past 24 hours, underpins the heavy market weighting on the 64–67°F range. Traders appear to price in minor uncertainty around exact peak timing or station-specific readings while discounting warmer outcomes that would require unexpected ridging or marine-layer erosion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,972Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer clouds and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, keeping the highest temperature well below the early-September climatological average of 71°F. Official National Weather Service and model guidance as of September 19 point to a high near 64–66°F under mostly cloudy skies, with west-southwest winds of 5–15 mph limiting warming. This forecast stability, absent any significant model shifts or clearing trends in the past 24 hours, underpins the heavy market weighting on the 64–67°F range. Traders appear to price in minor uncertainty around exact peak timing or station-specific readings while discounting warmer outcomes that would require unexpected ridging or marine-layer erosion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,972Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer clouds and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, keeping the highest temperature well below the early-September climatological average of 71°F. Official National Weather Service and model guidance as of September 19 point to a high near 64–66°F under mostly cloudy skies, with west-southwest winds of 5–15 mph limiting warming. This forecast stability, absent any significant model shifts or clearing trends in the past 24 hours, underpins the heavy market weighting on the 64–67°F range. Traders appear to price in minor uncertainty around exact peak timing or station-specific readings while discounting warmer outcomes that would require unexpected ridging or marine-layer erosion.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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