**Current forecast models from sources like GFS show a consensus maximum temperature of 25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market's strong 57.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Mild Atlantic air advection and stable high pressure are driving temperatures above the long-term September 19 average high of roughly 21°C, while limited cloud cover and no precipitation allow efficient daytime heating. Nearby model runs cluster tightly between 24–26°C, aligning with the combined 99%+ probability on those three bins and reflecting low forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Official resolution will rely on Météo-France or equivalent station measurements of the daily high, with minimal expected revision risk overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on September 19?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 19?
25°C 56%
24°C 22%
26°C 20%
23°C 2%
BARU
$16,154 Vol.
BARU
$16,154 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
56%
26°C
20%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 56%
24°C 22%
26°C 20%
23°C 2%
BARU
$16,154 Vol.
BARU
$16,154 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
$625 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$797 Vol.
2%
24°C
$3,441 Vol.
22%
25°C
$3,323 Vol.
56%
26°C
$3,641 Vol.
20%
27°C
$1,193 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,028 Vol.
1%
29°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,247 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like GFS show a consensus maximum temperature of 25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market's strong 57.5% implied probability on that outcome.**
Mild Atlantic air advection and stable high pressure are driving temperatures above the long-term September 19 average high of roughly 21°C, while limited cloud cover and no precipitation allow efficient daytime heating. Nearby model runs cluster tightly between 24–26°C, aligning with the combined 99%+ probability on those three bins and reflecting low forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Official resolution will rely on Météo-France or equivalent station measurements of the daily high, with minimal expected revision risk overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,154Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like GFS show a consensus maximum temperature of 25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market's strong 57.5% implied probability on that outcome.**
Mild Atlantic air advection and stable high pressure are driving temperatures above the long-term September 19 average high of roughly 21°C, while limited cloud cover and no precipitation allow efficient daytime heating. Nearby model runs cluster tightly between 24–26°C, aligning with the combined 99%+ probability on those three bins and reflecting low forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Official resolution will rely on Météo-France or equivalent station measurements of the daily high, with minimal expected revision risk overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,154Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like GFS show a consensus maximum temperature of 25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly winds, supporting the market's strong 57.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Mild Atlantic air advection and stable high pressure are driving temperatures above the long-term September 19 average high of roughly 21°C, while limited cloud cover and no precipitation allow efficient daytime heating. Nearby model runs cluster tightly between 24–26°C, aligning with the combined 99%+ probability on those three bins and reflecting low forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Official resolution will rely on Météo-France or equivalent station measurements of the daily high, with minimal expected revision risk overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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