Recent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and global models points to clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C in Madrid on September 19. These conditions support strong daytime heating under September’s still-elevated solar angles, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit temperatures. Historical averages for the date sit at 25.7 °C, yet the current pattern has run several degrees above normal, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward 29 °C (64.5 % implied probability) and 30 °C (26.5 %). Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will determine whether any slight cooling or warming adjusts the leading outcomes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on September 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 19?
29°C 62%
30°C 25%
28°C 13%
31°C 3%
BARU
$11,619 Vol.
BARU
$11,619 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
13%
29°C
62%
30°C
25%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 62%
30°C 25%
28°C 13%
31°C 3%
BARU
$11,619 Vol.
BARU
$11,619 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
24°C or below
$1,096 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$931 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,157 Vol.
13%
29°C
$3,263 Vol.
62%
30°C
$3,434 Vol.
25%
31°C
$639 Vol.
3%
32°C
$56 Vol.
1%
33°C
$767 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and global models points to clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C in Madrid on September 19. These conditions support strong daytime heating under September’s still-elevated solar angles, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit temperatures. Historical averages for the date sit at 25.7 °C, yet the current pattern has run several degrees above normal, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward 29 °C (64.5 % implied probability) and 30 °C (26.5 %). Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will determine whether any slight cooling or warming adjusts the leading outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11,619Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and global models points to clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C in Madrid on September 19. These conditions support strong daytime heating under September’s still-elevated solar angles, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit temperatures. Historical averages for the date sit at 25.7 °C, yet the current pattern has run several degrees above normal, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward 29 °C (64.5 % implied probability) and 30 °C (26.5 %). Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will determine whether any slight cooling or warming adjusts the leading outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,619Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources including the Met Office and global models points to clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and high pressure favoring a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C in Madrid on September 19. These conditions support strong daytime heating under September’s still-elevated solar angles, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit temperatures. Historical averages for the date sit at 25.7 °C, yet the current pattern has run several degrees above normal, aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward 29 °C (64.5 % implied probability) and 30 °C (26.5 %). Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will determine whether any slight cooling or warming adjusts the leading outcomes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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