Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a daytime maximum near 31°C on September 21 amid typical late-wet-season conditions featuring scattered thunderstorms and southeasterly flow. Afternoon convection and cloud cover are expected to limit further warming, keeping readings close to the September climatological average of roughly 30–32°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustering between 30°C and 32°C, though localized heavy rain or clearer breaks could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range forecast details heavily, as the market places the highest implied probability on 31°C while assigning meaningful weight to 30°C, reflecting the narrow but real uncertainty in convective timing and intensity ahead of the observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on September 21?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 21?
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
29°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
28%
31°C
44%
32°C
17%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
29°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
23°C or below
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$473 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$65 Vol.
1%
27°C
$31 Vol.
1%
28°C
$71 Vol.
2%
29°C
$98 Vol.
5%
30°C
$829 Vol.
28%
31°C
$784 Vol.
44%
32°C
$285 Vol.
17%
33°C or higher
$131 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a daytime maximum near 31°C on September 21 amid typical late-wet-season conditions featuring scattered thunderstorms and southeasterly flow. Afternoon convection and cloud cover are expected to limit further warming, keeping readings close to the September climatological average of roughly 30–32°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustering between 30°C and 32°C, though localized heavy rain or clearer breaks could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range forecast details heavily, as the market places the highest implied probability on 31°C while assigning meaningful weight to 30°C, reflecting the narrow but real uncertainty in convective timing and intensity ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,838Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a daytime maximum near 31°C on September 21 amid typical late-wet-season conditions featuring scattered thunderstorms and southeasterly flow. Afternoon convection and cloud cover are expected to limit further warming, keeping readings close to the September climatological average of roughly 30–32°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustering between 30°C and 32°C, though localized heavy rain or clearer breaks could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range forecast details heavily, as the market places the highest implied probability on 31°C while assigning meaningful weight to 30°C, reflecting the narrow but real uncertainty in convective timing and intensity ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,838Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and regional model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a daytime maximum near 31°C on September 21 amid typical late-wet-season conditions featuring scattered thunderstorms and southeasterly flow. Afternoon convection and cloud cover are expected to limit further warming, keeping readings close to the September climatological average of roughly 30–32°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustering between 30°C and 32°C, though localized heavy rain or clearer breaks could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range forecast details heavily, as the market places the highest implied probability on 31°C while assigning meaningful weight to 30°C, reflecting the narrow but real uncertainty in convective timing and intensity ahead of the observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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