Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a September 20 maximum in Ankara near 24–25°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, limited moisture, and partly cloudy skies that permit sufficient daytime heating without excessive accumulation. Ensemble spreads and minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical climatology for the date centers around 24°C. Traders are weighting recent stable runs and the absence of disruptive synoptic features, with resolution hinging on official station observations and any final forecast adjustments from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on September 20?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 20?
24°C 39%
25°C 37%
26°C 16%
23°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
11%
24°C
39%
25°C
37%
26°C
16%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 37%
26°C 16%
23°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
20°C or below
$38 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$44 Vol.
6%
23°C
$83 Vol.
11%
24°C
$269 Vol.
39%
25°C
$199 Vol.
37%
26°C
$242 Vol.
16%
27°C
$50 Vol.
2%
28°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a September 20 maximum in Ankara near 24–25°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, limited moisture, and partly cloudy skies that permit sufficient daytime heating without excessive accumulation. Ensemble spreads and minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical climatology for the date centers around 24°C. Traders are weighting recent stable runs and the absence of disruptive synoptic features, with resolution hinging on official station observations and any final forecast adjustments from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,347Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a September 20 maximum in Ankara near 24–25°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, limited moisture, and partly cloudy skies that permit sufficient daytime heating without excessive accumulation. Ensemble spreads and minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical climatology for the date centers around 24°C. Traders are weighting recent stable runs and the absence of disruptive synoptic features, with resolution hinging on official station observations and any final forecast adjustments from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,347Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a September 20 maximum in Ankara near 24–25°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, limited moisture, and partly cloudy skies that permit sufficient daytime heating without excessive accumulation. Ensemble spreads and minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical climatology for the date centers around 24°C. Traders are weighting recent stable runs and the absence of disruptive synoptic features, with resolution hinging on official station observations and any final forecast adjustments from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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