Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami point to overnight lows in the upper 70s on September 22, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity above 85 percent, and scattered to numerous thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with the climatological average low of 76.6 °F for the date and keep the 76–77 °F bin as the market favorite at 36.5 percent implied probability. Warmer 78–79 °F outcomes gain support if cloud cover and rain persist through the night, while cooler 74–75 °F or lower bins would require an unexpected northerly shift or clearer skies allowing stronger cooling—scenarios not currently favored by official forecasts. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 22?
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 30%
72-73°F 30%
78-79°F 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
69°F or below
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 33%
74-75°F 30%
72-73°F 30%
78-79°F 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Vol.
11%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
30%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
30%
76-77°F
$4 Vol.
34%
78-79°F
$219 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami point to overnight lows in the upper 70s on September 22, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity above 85 percent, and scattered to numerous thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with the climatological average low of 76.6 °F for the date and keep the 76–77 °F bin as the market favorite at 36.5 percent implied probability. Warmer 78–79 °F outcomes gain support if cloud cover and rain persist through the night, while cooler 74–75 °F or lower bins would require an unexpected northerly shift or clearer skies allowing stronger cooling—scenarios not currently favored by official forecasts. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$223Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami point to overnight lows in the upper 70s on September 22, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity above 85 percent, and scattered to numerous thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with the climatological average low of 76.6 °F for the date and keep the 76–77 °F bin as the market favorite at 36.5 percent implied probability. Warmer 78–79 °F outcomes gain support if cloud cover and rain persist through the night, while cooler 74–75 °F or lower bins would require an unexpected northerly shift or clearer skies allowing stronger cooling—scenarios not currently favored by official forecasts. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$223Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami point to overnight lows in the upper 70s on September 22, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity above 85 percent, and scattered to numerous thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with the climatological average low of 76.6 °F for the date and keep the 76–77 °F bin as the market favorite at 36.5 percent implied probability. Warmer 78–79 °F outcomes gain support if cloud cover and rain persist through the night, while cooler 74–75 °F or lower bins would require an unexpected northerly shift or clearer skies allowing stronger cooling—scenarios not currently favored by official forecasts. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan