National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance project an overnight low in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for Los Angeles on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer, light southwest winds, and patchy fog that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 66-67°F bin at 48% implied probability, while the secondary 68-69°F range at 23.5% reflects minor upside uncertainty in coastal versus inland readings. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport show similar lows in the 64-66°F range under comparable synoptic patterns, with historical September minima averaging near 63°F. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 22?
66-67°F 52%
62-63°F 39%
68-69°F 23%
60-61°F 19%
57°F or below
6%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
4%
76°F or higher
4%
66-67°F 52%
62-63°F 39%
68-69°F 23%
60-61°F 19%
57°F or below
6%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
4%
76°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance project an overnight low in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for Los Angeles on September 22, driven by a persistent marine layer, light southwest winds, and patchy fog that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 66-67°F bin at 48% implied probability, while the secondary 68-69°F range at 23.5% reflects minor upside uncertainty in coastal versus inland readings. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport show similar lows in the 64-66°F range under comparable synoptic patterns, with historical September minima averaging near 63°F. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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