Recent southerly winds and high pressure building behind a cold front have driven cooler air into the Buenos Aires region, creating tight market-implied odds between a minimum of 1°C or below (45.0%) and 11°C or higher (44.5%). Official forecasts and global models show overnight lows clustered around 7–9°C under partly cloudy skies, but discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed produce the balanced probabilities for more extreme cooling or moderation. Traders are watching the next SMN and GFS/ECMWF runs for refinements ahead of the overnight period, as small shifts in dew points or cloud cover could tip the recorded minimum across key thresholds like 4–6°C. Historical September minima near 8°C provide context for the current setup.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 22?
11°C or higher 90%
1°C or below 84%
3°C 39%
7°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
1°C or below
84%
2°C
18%
3°C
39%
4°C
25%
5°C
22%
6°C
20%
7°C
37%
8°C
37%
9°C
17%
10°C
17%
11°C or higher
90%
11°C or higher 90%
1°C or below 84%
3°C 39%
7°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
1°C or below
$0 Vol.
84%
2°C
$0 Vol.
18%
3°C
$0 Vol.
39%
4°C
$0 Vol.
25%
5°C
$0 Vol.
22%
6°C
$0 Vol.
20%
7°C
$0 Vol.
37%
8°C
$0 Vol.
37%
9°C
$0 Vol.
17%
10°C
$0 Vol.
17%
11°C or higher
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southerly winds and high pressure building behind a cold front have driven cooler air into the Buenos Aires region, creating tight market-implied odds between a minimum of 1°C or below (45.0%) and 11°C or higher (44.5%). Official forecasts and global models show overnight lows clustered around 7–9°C under partly cloudy skies, but discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed produce the balanced probabilities for more extreme cooling or moderation. Traders are watching the next SMN and GFS/ECMWF runs for refinements ahead of the overnight period, as small shifts in dew points or cloud cover could tip the recorded minimum across key thresholds like 4–6°C. Historical September minima near 8°C provide context for the current setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southerly winds and high pressure building behind a cold front have driven cooler air into the Buenos Aires region, creating tight market-implied odds between a minimum of 1°C or below (45.0%) and 11°C or higher (44.5%). Official forecasts and global models show overnight lows clustered around 7–9°C under partly cloudy skies, but discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed produce the balanced probabilities for more extreme cooling or moderation. Traders are watching the next SMN and GFS/ECMWF runs for refinements ahead of the overnight period, as small shifts in dew points or cloud cover could tip the recorded minimum across key thresholds like 4–6°C. Historical September minima near 8°C provide context for the current setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent southerly winds and high pressure building behind a cold front have driven cooler air into the Buenos Aires region, creating tight market-implied odds between a minimum of 1°C or below (45.0%) and 11°C or higher (44.5%). Official forecasts and global models show overnight lows clustered around 7–9°C under partly cloudy skies, but discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed produce the balanced probabilities for more extreme cooling or moderation. Traders are watching the next SMN and GFS/ECMWF runs for refinements ahead of the overnight period, as small shifts in dew points or cloud cover could tip the recorded minimum across key thresholds like 4–6°C. Historical September minima near 8°C provide context for the current setup.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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