Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 28–30°C for Milan on September 21, driven by a stable high-pressure system, light variable winds, and predominantly clear to partly cloudy skies that maximize daytime solar insolation during late summer. Official guidance, including from the Met Office, points to a peak near 30°C with minimal precipitation risk under 5–10%, consistent with seasonal norms for the Po Valley where anticyclonic conditions often produce such readings. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 29% for 29°C, aligns with this model agreement while assigning low odds to outliers above 31°C or below 28°C absent any incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover in the latest updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on September 21?
30°C 55%
29°C 32%
31°C or higher 9%
28°C 8%
$10,480 Vol.
$10,480 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
32%
30°C
55%
31°C or higher
9%
30°C 55%
29°C 32%
31°C or higher 9%
28°C 8%
$10,480 Vol.
$10,480 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
32%
30°C
55%
31°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 28–30°C for Milan on September 21, driven by a stable high-pressure system, light variable winds, and predominantly clear to partly cloudy skies that maximize daytime solar insolation during late summer. Official guidance, including from the Met Office, points to a peak near 30°C with minimal precipitation risk under 5–10%, consistent with seasonal norms for the Po Valley where anticyclonic conditions often produce such readings. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 29% for 29°C, aligns with this model agreement while assigning low odds to outliers above 31°C or below 28°C absent any incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover in the latest updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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