Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Seoul and Incheon on September 21, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and highs centered on 28°C. This aligns with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for 28°C and 31% for 27°C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions typical of late September that suppress cloud cover and precipitation. Minor model spreads produce the smaller 8.5% chance for 29°C, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal activity. Updated runs over the past 24 hours have held steady, with traders weighting official maximum temperature observations at representative stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 21?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 21?
28°C 51%
27°C 35%
26°C 9%
29°C 9%
BARU
$12,545 Vol.
BARU
$12,545 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
35%
28°C
51%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 35%
26°C 9%
29°C 9%
BARU
$12,545 Vol.
BARU
$12,545 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
23°C or below
$281 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,167 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$303 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,680 Vol.
9%
27°C
$1,874 Vol.
35%
28°C
$4,172 Vol.
51%
29°C
$986 Vol.
9%
30°C
$582 Vol.
2%
31°C
$931 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Seoul and Incheon on September 21, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and highs centered on 28°C. This aligns with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for 28°C and 31% for 27°C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions typical of late September that suppress cloud cover and precipitation. Minor model spreads produce the smaller 8.5% chance for 29°C, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal activity. Updated runs over the past 24 hours have held steady, with traders weighting official maximum temperature observations at representative stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,545Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Seoul and Incheon on September 21, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and highs centered on 28°C. This aligns with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for 28°C and 31% for 27°C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions typical of late September that suppress cloud cover and precipitation. Minor model spreads produce the smaller 8.5% chance for 29°C, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal activity. Updated runs over the past 24 hours have held steady, with traders weighting official maximum temperature observations at representative stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,545Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Seoul and Incheon on September 21, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and highs centered on 28°C. This aligns with the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for 28°C and 31% for 27°C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions typical of late September that suppress cloud cover and precipitation. Minor model spreads produce the smaller 8.5% chance for 29°C, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal activity. Updated runs over the past 24 hours have held steady, with traders weighting official maximum temperature observations at representative stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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