Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration data, indicate mostly sunny conditions and light easterly winds over the Seoul-Incheon region on September 22, supporting a daily maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's leading 53% implied probability for exactly 28°C, as persistent high-pressure influence maintains stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover, limiting both upward spikes from daytime heating and cooling from advection. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 27–29°C, with only low odds assigned to outliers like 26°C or 30°C+ due to the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture. Updated short-range runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this consensus without notable shifts, consistent with typical late-September climatology under blocking patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 22?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 22?
28°C 53%
27°C 30%
26°C 18%
29°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
27%
28°C
53%
29°C
15%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
5%
28°C 53%
27°C 30%
26°C 18%
29°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$4 Vol.
18%
27°C
$40 Vol.
27%
28°C
$155 Vol.
53%
29°C
$163 Vol.
15%
30°C
$8 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration data, indicate mostly sunny conditions and light easterly winds over the Seoul-Incheon region on September 22, supporting a daily maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's leading 53% implied probability for exactly 28°C, as persistent high-pressure influence maintains stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover, limiting both upward spikes from daytime heating and cooling from advection. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 27–29°C, with only low odds assigned to outliers like 26°C or 30°C+ due to the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture. Updated short-range runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this consensus without notable shifts, consistent with typical late-September climatology under blocking patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$369Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration data, indicate mostly sunny conditions and light easterly winds over the Seoul-Incheon region on September 22, supporting a daily maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's leading 53% implied probability for exactly 28°C, as persistent high-pressure influence maintains stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover, limiting both upward spikes from daytime heating and cooling from advection. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 27–29°C, with only low odds assigned to outliers like 26°C or 30°C+ due to the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture. Updated short-range runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this consensus without notable shifts, consistent with typical late-September climatology under blocking patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$369Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration data, indicate mostly sunny conditions and light easterly winds over the Seoul-Incheon region on September 22, supporting a daily maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's leading 53% implied probability for exactly 28°C, as persistent high-pressure influence maintains stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover, limiting both upward spikes from daytime heating and cooling from advection. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 27–29°C, with only low odds assigned to outliers like 26°C or 30°C+ due to the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture. Updated short-range runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this consensus without notable shifts, consistent with typical late-September climatology under blocking patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan